James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 Texas U.S. Senate primary by defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett, positioning him as the certain general election opponent and driving trader consensus toward Talarico matchups at 98% combined probability. The Republican primary advanced to a May runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton after neither secured a majority, with Wesley Hunt eliminated; recent Texas Public Opinion Research polling from early April shows Paxton leading Cornyn 48%-40% among likely GOP primary voters, elevating the Talarico-Paxton outcome to 58% implied probability. Talarico's record $27 million Q1 fundraising haul and new general election surveys depicting him ahead of both Republicans by 3-5 points underscore the closely contested race ahead of the November ballot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEncuentro electoral del Senado de Texas
Encuentro electoral del Senado de Texas
Talarico y Paxton 58%
Talarico y Cornyn 40%
Crockett y Hunt <1%
Otro <1%
$706,710 Vol.
$706,710 Vol.
3 mar 2026
Talarico y Paxton
58%
Talarico y Cornyn
40%
Crockett y Hunt
1%
Otro
<1%
Crockett y Paxton
<1%
Talarico y Hunt
<1%
Crockett y Cornyn
<1%
Talarico y Paxton 58%
Talarico y Cornyn 40%
Crockett y Hunt <1%
Otro <1%
$706,710 Vol.
$706,710 Vol.
3 mar 2026
Talarico y Paxton
$266,938 Vol.
58%
Talarico y Cornyn
$191,583 Vol.
40%
Crockett y Hunt
$26,468 Vol.
1%
Otro
$27,374 Vol.
<1%
Crockett y Paxton
$105,556 Vol.
<1%
Talarico y Hunt
$23,958 Vol.
<1%
Crockett y Cornyn
$64,832 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 Texas U.S. Senate primary by defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett, positioning him as the certain general election opponent and driving trader consensus toward Talarico matchups at 98% combined probability. The Republican primary advanced to a May runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton after neither secured a majority, with Wesley Hunt eliminated; recent Texas Public Opinion Research polling from early April shows Paxton leading Cornyn 48%-40% among likely GOP primary voters, elevating the Talarico-Paxton outcome to 58% implied probability. Talarico's record $27 million Q1 fundraising haul and new general election surveys depicting him ahead of both Republicans by 3-5 points underscore the closely contested race ahead of the November ballot.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Volumen
$706,710Fecha de finalización
3 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 Texas U.S. Senate primary by defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett, positioning him as the certain general election opponent and driving trader consensus toward Talarico matchups at 98% combined probability. The Republican primary advanced to a May runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton after neither secured a majority, with Wesley Hunt eliminated; recent Texas Public Opinion Research polling from early April shows Paxton leading Cornyn 48%-40% among likely GOP primary voters, elevating the Talarico-Paxton outcome to 58% implied probability. Talarico's record $27 million Q1 fundraising haul and new general election surveys depicting him ahead of both Republicans by 3-5 points underscore the closely contested race ahead of the November ballot.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$706,710Fecha de finalización
3 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 Texas U.S. Senate primary by defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett, positioning him as the certain general election opponent and driving trader consensus toward Talarico matchups at 98% combined probability. The Republican primary advanced to a May runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton after neither secured a majority, with Wesley Hunt eliminated; recent Texas Public Opinion Research polling from early April shows Paxton leading Cornyn 48%-40% among likely GOP primary voters, elevating the Talarico-Paxton outcome to 58% implied probability. Talarico's record $27 million Q1 fundraising haul and new general election surveys depicting him ahead of both Republicans by 3-5 points underscore the closely contested race ahead of the November ballot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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