Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska
Tom Begich 36%
Bernadette Wilson 24%
Nancy Dahlstrom 10.8%
Treg Taylor 7.0%
$948,727 Vol.
$948,727 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Tom Begich
$112,915 Vol.
36%
Bernadette Wilson
$149,663 Vol.
24%
Nancy Dahlstrom
$115,182 Vol.
11%
Treg Taylor
$14,386 Vol.
7%
Click Bishop
$7,616 Vol.
6%
David Bronson
$8,632 Vol.
3%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
$5,017 Vol.
2%
Matt Claman
$5,513 Vol.
2%
Edna DeVries
$6,873 Vol.
1%
Matt Heilala
$29,323 Vol.
<1%
Adam Crum
$38,589 Vol.
<1%
Shelley Hughes
$7,976 Vol.
<1%
Lisa Murkowski
$13,863 Vol.
<1%
Mary Peltola
$323,580 Vol.
<1%
Hank Kroll
$2,799 Vol.
<1%
James Parkin
$102,741 Vol.
<1%
Bruce Walden
$4,060 Vol.
<1%
Tom Begich 36%
Bernadette Wilson 24%
Nancy Dahlstrom 10.8%
Treg Taylor 7.0%
$948,727 Vol.
$948,727 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Tom Begich
$112,915 Vol.
36%
Bernadette Wilson
$149,663 Vol.
24%
Nancy Dahlstrom
$115,182 Vol.
11%
Treg Taylor
$14,386 Vol.
7%
Click Bishop
$7,616 Vol.
6%
David Bronson
$8,632 Vol.
3%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
$5,017 Vol.
2%
Matt Claman
$5,513 Vol.
2%
Edna DeVries
$6,873 Vol.
1%
Matt Heilala
$29,323 Vol.
<1%
Adam Crum
$38,589 Vol.
<1%
Shelley Hughes
$7,976 Vol.
<1%
Lisa Murkowski
$13,863 Vol.
<1%
Mary Peltola
$323,580 Vol.
<1%
Hank Kroll
$2,799 Vol.
<1%
James Parkin
$102,741 Vol.
<1%
Bruce Walden
$4,060 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent Alaska Survey Research polling from April 16-19 shows Democrat Tom Begich leading Alaska's top-four primary for governor at 19%, ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson at 13.5%, Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson at 9.8%, and former Sen. Click Bishop at 9%, with Begich prevailing 54-46 over Wilson in a ranked-choice voting simulation for the November general election. This reflects trader consensus in a fragmented Republican field—where Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom trails at lower levels—amid incumbent Mike Dunleavy's term limit, driving Begich's frontrunner edge despite the competitive open race. Early fundraising reports highlighted six-figure hauls for top contenders, with candidate filing closing June 1 ahead of the August 18 primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Recent Alaska Survey Research polling from April 16-19 shows Democrat Tom Begich leading Alaska's top-four primary for governor at 19%, ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson at 13.5%, Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson at 9.8%, and former Sen. Click Bishop at 9%, with Begich prevailing 54-46 over Wilson in a ranked-choice voting simulation for the November general election. This reflects trader consensus in a fragmented Republican field—where Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom trails at lower levels—amid incumbent Mike Dunleavy's term limit, driving Begich's frontrunner edge despite the competitive open race. Early fundraising reports highlighted six-figure hauls for top contenders, with candidate filing closing June 1 ahead of the August 18 primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 30 2026
Kenai GOP District 6 endorses Wilson among top three candidates, reinforcing her standing within Republican base
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 32%7%
Kenai GOP District 6 endorses Wilson among top three candidates, reinforcing her standing within Republican base
Apr 30 2026
Kenai GOP District 6 endorses Bronson among three candidates deemed most qualified for governor, providing a modest boost in local party support amid a competitive race
David Bronson rises to 5%1%
Kenai GOP District 6 endorses Bronson among three candidates deemed most qualified for governor, providing a modest boost in local party support amid a competitive race
Apr 24 2026
Labor unions form a new political group with a six-figure budget to support Click Bishop and Greta Schuerch’s campaign
Click Bishop jumps to 11%6%
This significant boost from organized labor, including the Alaska AFL-CIO, enhanced Bishop’s campaign resources and visibility, leading to a notable
Apr 23 2026
Market reacts to a fresh Alaska Survey Research poll showing Democrat Tom Begich leading, putting pressure on Wilson’s chances
Bernadette Wilson drops to 24%8%
Market reacts to a fresh Alaska Survey Research poll showing Democrat Tom Begich leading, putting pressure on Wilson’s chances
Apr 23 2026
Polling by Alaska Survey Research shows Click Bishop entering the top four candidates in the primary, replacing Democrat Matt Claman
Click Bishop rises to 11%3%
Positive polling data indicating Bishop’s improved standing in the crowded race contributed to a
Apr 16 2026
Poll shows Begich leading top-four primary with 19%, boosting market odds
Tom Begich jumps to 36%10%
A fresh Alaska Survey Research poll released mid-April showing Begich leading the nonpartisan primary significantly increased market confidence in his electability.
Apr 10 2026
Slight
Nancy Dahlstrom rises to 12%4%
No verifiable news event identified; minor market correction.
Apr 8 2026
Click Bishop selects Iñupiaq leader Greta Schuerch as his running mate in Fairbanks
Click Bishop rises to 6%4%
The announcement of Schuerch, a respected Alaska Native leader with ties to mining and government affairs, was seen as a strategic move to broaden Bishop’s appeal, causing a modest
Apr 6 2026
Bronson and Church campaign document reveals plan to double Alaska Permanent Fund earnings target to 10%, a controversial proposal criticized as risky and potentially
David Bronson dips to 4%3%
Bronson and Church campaign document reveals plan to double Alaska Permanent Fund earnings target to 10%, a controversial proposal criticized as risky and potentially destabilizing, likely dampening market confidence
Apr 2 2026
Market trough at 8% coincides with no specific news but reflects ongoing decline in Dahlstrom’s perceived electability
Nancy Dahlstrom drops to 8%5%
No direct news found; likely market reaction to cumulative campaign developments and polling.
Mar 30 2026
Wilson participates in Alaska Governor Candidate Fireside Forum, increasing visibility among voters and veterans
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 28%14%
Wilson participates in Alaska Governor Candidate Fireside Forum, increasing visibility among voters and veterans
Mar 23 2026
Begich visits Petersburg and Southeast Alaska, emphasizing tax fairness and education funding
Tom Begich jumps to 30%5%
Campaign stops and interviews focusing on collecting fair taxes from companies and funding schools helped stabilize and slightly increase his market.
Mar 21 2026
Polls and market sentiment show a trough for Bishop’s chances, with
Click Bishop drops to 1%8%
This low point reflects market skepticism about Bishop’s ability to advance amid strong competition.
Continued election-related activity under her office may have had a minor negative impact amid broader political dynamics.
Mar 10 2026
Anchorage attorney Gregg Brelsford enters governor’s race, increasing competition in the crowded field
Bernadette Wilson dips to 25%2%
Anchorage attorney Gregg Brelsford enters governor’s race, increasing competition in the crowded field
Feb 23 2026
Wilson criticizes former Governor Dunleavy’s cuts and frames her campaign as a "people’s campaign," appealing to grassroots voters
Bernadette Wilson drops to 27%6%
Wilson criticizes former Governor Dunleavy’s cuts and frames her campaign as a "people’s campaign," appealing to grassroots voters
Feb 23 2026
Begich’s campaign highlighted in media as a leading Democrat
Tom Begich jumps to 29%5%
Media coverage of Begich as the leading Democratic candidate and his participation in forums increased market confidence.
Feb 18 2026
Treg Taylor campaign announces $880,309 raised, signaling strong early fundraising momentum
Treg Taylor jumps to 7%5%
This fundraising milestone indicated serious campaign viability, contributing to a modest.
Feb 18 2026
Wilson reports raising $306,000 in early fundraising, second highest among GOP candidates, signaling strong campaign viability
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 33%13%
Wilson reports raising $306,000 in early fundraising, second highest among GOP candidates, signaling strong campaign viability
Feb 11 2026
Treg Taylor participates in Republican candidate forum in Juneau, emphasizing economic growth and conservative values
While the forum provided exposure, Taylor’s performance did not significantly shift market perception amid many candidates present.
Feb 4 2026
Alaska’s gubernatorial race expands with 16 candidates including Dahlstrom, highlighting a crowded and competitive field
Nancy Dahlstrom drops to 17%8%
The large candidate field likely diluted Dahlstrom’s perceived chances, contributing to a
Feb 4 2026
Former state legislator Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins joins the governor’s race, increasing competition among Democrats and moderates
Click Bishop dips to 2%1%
The entry of more candidates heightened the crowded field effect, pressuring Bishop’s market share downward.
Jan 14 2026
Bronson announces Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as his running mate, emphasizing election security and partnership, aiming to strengthen his campaign with a running mate
David Bronson rises to 5%2%
Bronson announces Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as his running mate, emphasizing election security and partnership, aiming to strengthen his campaign with a running mate from the Interior region
Jan 10 2026
Begich’s campaign gains momentum after Fairbanks kickoff and policy outline
Tom Begich jumps to 34%14%
Begich’s formal campaign launch in Fairbanks and detailed plans on education, energy, and fiscal health boosted market optimism about his chances.
Dec 31 2025
Dahlstrom certifies proper filing of Ballot Initiative 24ESEG to repeal Alaska’s top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system
Certification of a controversial election reform initiative likely maintained steady market interest without major
Dec 23 2025
Lt. Governor Dahlstrom submits Alaska voter registration list to U.S. Department of Justice, demonstrating compliance with federal election laws
Nancy Dahlstrom dips to 21%3%
This administrative action amid election integrity scrutiny may have had a neutral to slightly negative market impact due to political sensitivities.
Dec 22 2025
Wilson signs the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, committing to oppose all tax increases, gaining support from conservative voters
Bernadette Wilson rises to 23%4%
Wilson signs the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, committing to oppose all tax increases, gaining support from conservative voters
Dec 1 2025
Alaska Democratic field remains limited with Begich as leading candidate
Tom Begich jumps to 24%5%
With few Democrats entering the race and Begich as the established figure, market.
Nov 3 2025
Click Bishop officially announces his candidacy for Alaska governor, entering a crowded field of over a dozen candidates
Click Bishop plunges to 3%47%
This announcement marked the start of Bishop’s campaign but coincided with the emergence of many other candidates, diluting early market confidence.
Nov 1 2025
Begich emphasizes education and affordable housing goals in campaign stops
Tom Begich jumps to 21%11%
Begich’s public articulation of policy priorities, including fully funding education and affordable energy, during visits to communities like Ketchikan helped regain some market confidence in his viability.
Oct 13 2025
Treg Taylor formally announces candidacy for Alaska governor, leveraging his tenure as Attorney General to address state challenges
Treg Taylor plunges to 4%46%
Taylor’s official entry into the race was widely reported, initially boosting market interest, but the crowded field quickly diluted his standing.
Oct 3 2025
Lt. Governor Nancy Dahlstrom certifies application for Ballot Initiative 25USCV, advancing a voter citizenship requirement initiative
Nancy Dahlstrom jumps to 30%9%
Certification of a high-profile ballot initiative under her office may have temporarily boosted confidence in her leadership and political influence.
Oct 2 2025
Dave Bronson officially announces candidacy for Alaska governor at a press event in Fairbanks, entering a crowded Republican primary field as a former Anchorage mayor with
David Bronson plunges to 2%48%
Dave Bronson officially announces candidacy for Alaska governor at a press event in Fairbanks, entering a crowded Republican primary field as a former Anchorage mayor with executive experience
Sep 10 2025
Wilson selects former State Senator Mike Shower as running mate, bolstering campaign with his military and legislative experience
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 23%5%
Wilson selects former State Senator Mike Shower as running mate, bolstering campaign with his military and legislative experience
Aug 24 2025
Nancy Dahlstrom withdraws from Alaska U.S. House race after placing third in primary, consolidating Republican support behind Nick Begich
This withdrawal clarified her focus on the gubernatorial race but may have tempered enthusiasm as she stepped back from a federal office bid.
Aug 15 2025
Tom Begich announces candidacy for Alaska governor
Tom Begich plunges to 9%41%
Begich officially declared his run for governor as the first Democrat in the race, setting the initial market interest. However, the large Republican field and uncertainty about his chances caused a sharp drop in.
May 13 2025
Bernadette Wilson formally announces candidacy for Alaska governor, emphasizing her business background and outsider status
Bernadette Wilson formally announces candidacy for Alaska governor, emphasizing her business background and outsider status
May 5 2025
Nancy Dahlstrom files letter of intent to run for Alaska governor, officially entering the 2026 race and signaling her candidacy to the public
Nancy Dahlstrom plunges to 21%29%
Her formal step to run likely caused initial market re-evaluation and a sharp
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent Alaska Survey Research polling from April 16-19 shows Democrat Tom Begich leading Alaska's top-four primary for governor at 19%, ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson at 13.5%, Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson at 9.8%, and former Sen. Click Bishop at 9%, with Begich prevailing 54-46 over Wilson in a ranked-choice voting simulation for the November general election. This reflects trader consensus in a fragmented Republican field—where Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom trails at lower levels—amid incumbent Mike Dunleavy's term limit, driving Begich's frontrunner edge despite the competitive open race. Early fundraising reports highlighted six-figure hauls for top contenders, with candidate filing closing June 1 ahead of the August 18 primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Recent Alaska Survey Research polling from April 16-19 shows Democrat Tom Begich leading Alaska's top-four primary for governor at 19%, ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson at 13.5%, Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson at 9.8%, and former Sen. Click Bishop at 9%, with Begich prevailing 54-46 over Wilson in a ranked-choice voting simulation for the November general election. This reflects trader consensus in a fragmented Republican field—where Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom trails at lower levels—amid incumbent Mike Dunleavy's term limit, driving Begich's frontrunner edge despite the competitive open race. Early fundraising reports highlighted six-figure hauls for top contenders, with candidate filing closing June 1 ahead of the August 18 primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 30 2026
Kenai GOP District 6 endorses Wilson among top three candidates, reinforcing her standing within Republican base
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 32%7%
Kenai GOP District 6 endorses Wilson among top three candidates, reinforcing her standing within Republican base
Apr 30 2026
Kenai GOP District 6 endorses Bronson among three candidates deemed most qualified for governor, providing a modest boost in local party support amid a competitive race
David Bronson rises to 5%1%
Kenai GOP District 6 endorses Bronson among three candidates deemed most qualified for governor, providing a modest boost in local party support amid a competitive race
Apr 24 2026
Labor unions form a new political group with a six-figure budget to support Click Bishop and Greta Schuerch’s campaign
Click Bishop jumps to 11%6%
This significant boost from organized labor, including the Alaska AFL-CIO, enhanced Bishop’s campaign resources and visibility, leading to a notable
Apr 23 2026
Market reacts to a fresh Alaska Survey Research poll showing Democrat Tom Begich leading, putting pressure on Wilson’s chances
Bernadette Wilson drops to 24%8%
Market reacts to a fresh Alaska Survey Research poll showing Democrat Tom Begich leading, putting pressure on Wilson’s chances
Apr 23 2026
Polling by Alaska Survey Research shows Click Bishop entering the top four candidates in the primary, replacing Democrat Matt Claman
Click Bishop rises to 11%3%
Positive polling data indicating Bishop’s improved standing in the crowded race contributed to a
Apr 16 2026
Poll shows Begich leading top-four primary with 19%, boosting market odds
Tom Begich jumps to 36%10%
A fresh Alaska Survey Research poll released mid-April showing Begich leading the nonpartisan primary significantly increased market confidence in his electability.
Apr 10 2026
Slight
Nancy Dahlstrom rises to 12%4%
No verifiable news event identified; minor market correction.
Apr 8 2026
Click Bishop selects Iñupiaq leader Greta Schuerch as his running mate in Fairbanks
Click Bishop rises to 6%4%
The announcement of Schuerch, a respected Alaska Native leader with ties to mining and government affairs, was seen as a strategic move to broaden Bishop’s appeal, causing a modest
Apr 6 2026
Bronson and Church campaign document reveals plan to double Alaska Permanent Fund earnings target to 10%, a controversial proposal criticized as risky and potentially
David Bronson dips to 4%3%
Bronson and Church campaign document reveals plan to double Alaska Permanent Fund earnings target to 10%, a controversial proposal criticized as risky and potentially destabilizing, likely dampening market confidence
Apr 2 2026
Market trough at 8% coincides with no specific news but reflects ongoing decline in Dahlstrom’s perceived electability
Nancy Dahlstrom drops to 8%5%
No direct news found; likely market reaction to cumulative campaign developments and polling.
Mar 30 2026
Wilson participates in Alaska Governor Candidate Fireside Forum, increasing visibility among voters and veterans
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 28%14%
Wilson participates in Alaska Governor Candidate Fireside Forum, increasing visibility among voters and veterans
Mar 23 2026
Begich visits Petersburg and Southeast Alaska, emphasizing tax fairness and education funding
Tom Begich jumps to 30%5%
Campaign stops and interviews focusing on collecting fair taxes from companies and funding schools helped stabilize and slightly increase his market.
Mar 21 2026
Polls and market sentiment show a trough for Bishop’s chances, with
Click Bishop drops to 1%8%
This low point reflects market skepticism about Bishop’s ability to advance amid strong competition.
Continued election-related activity under her office may have had a minor negative impact amid broader political dynamics.
Mar 10 2026
Anchorage attorney Gregg Brelsford enters governor’s race, increasing competition in the crowded field
Bernadette Wilson dips to 25%2%
Anchorage attorney Gregg Brelsford enters governor’s race, increasing competition in the crowded field
Feb 23 2026
Wilson criticizes former Governor Dunleavy’s cuts and frames her campaign as a "people’s campaign," appealing to grassroots voters
Bernadette Wilson drops to 27%6%
Wilson criticizes former Governor Dunleavy’s cuts and frames her campaign as a "people’s campaign," appealing to grassroots voters
Feb 23 2026
Begich’s campaign highlighted in media as a leading Democrat
Tom Begich jumps to 29%5%
Media coverage of Begich as the leading Democratic candidate and his participation in forums increased market confidence.
Feb 18 2026
Treg Taylor campaign announces $880,309 raised, signaling strong early fundraising momentum
Treg Taylor jumps to 7%5%
This fundraising milestone indicated serious campaign viability, contributing to a modest.
Feb 18 2026
Wilson reports raising $306,000 in early fundraising, second highest among GOP candidates, signaling strong campaign viability
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 33%13%
Wilson reports raising $306,000 in early fundraising, second highest among GOP candidates, signaling strong campaign viability
Feb 11 2026
Treg Taylor participates in Republican candidate forum in Juneau, emphasizing economic growth and conservative values
While the forum provided exposure, Taylor’s performance did not significantly shift market perception amid many candidates present.
Feb 4 2026
Alaska’s gubernatorial race expands with 16 candidates including Dahlstrom, highlighting a crowded and competitive field
Nancy Dahlstrom drops to 17%8%
The large candidate field likely diluted Dahlstrom’s perceived chances, contributing to a
Feb 4 2026
Former state legislator Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins joins the governor’s race, increasing competition among Democrats and moderates
Click Bishop dips to 2%1%
The entry of more candidates heightened the crowded field effect, pressuring Bishop’s market share downward.
Jan 14 2026
Bronson announces Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as his running mate, emphasizing election security and partnership, aiming to strengthen his campaign with a running mate
David Bronson rises to 5%2%
Bronson announces Fairbanks financial adviser Josh Church as his running mate, emphasizing election security and partnership, aiming to strengthen his campaign with a running mate from the Interior region
Jan 10 2026
Begich’s campaign gains momentum after Fairbanks kickoff and policy outline
Tom Begich jumps to 34%14%
Begich’s formal campaign launch in Fairbanks and detailed plans on education, energy, and fiscal health boosted market optimism about his chances.
Dec 31 2025
Dahlstrom certifies proper filing of Ballot Initiative 24ESEG to repeal Alaska’s top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system
Certification of a controversial election reform initiative likely maintained steady market interest without major
Dec 23 2025
Lt. Governor Dahlstrom submits Alaska voter registration list to U.S. Department of Justice, demonstrating compliance with federal election laws
Nancy Dahlstrom dips to 21%3%
This administrative action amid election integrity scrutiny may have had a neutral to slightly negative market impact due to political sensitivities.
Dec 22 2025
Wilson signs the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, committing to oppose all tax increases, gaining support from conservative voters
Bernadette Wilson rises to 23%4%
Wilson signs the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, committing to oppose all tax increases, gaining support from conservative voters
Dec 1 2025
Alaska Democratic field remains limited with Begich as leading candidate
Tom Begich jumps to 24%5%
With few Democrats entering the race and Begich as the established figure, market.
Nov 3 2025
Click Bishop officially announces his candidacy for Alaska governor, entering a crowded field of over a dozen candidates
Click Bishop plunges to 3%47%
This announcement marked the start of Bishop’s campaign but coincided with the emergence of many other candidates, diluting early market confidence.
Nov 1 2025
Begich emphasizes education and affordable housing goals in campaign stops
Tom Begich jumps to 21%11%
Begich’s public articulation of policy priorities, including fully funding education and affordable energy, during visits to communities like Ketchikan helped regain some market confidence in his viability.
Oct 13 2025
Treg Taylor formally announces candidacy for Alaska governor, leveraging his tenure as Attorney General to address state challenges
Treg Taylor plunges to 4%46%
Taylor’s official entry into the race was widely reported, initially boosting market interest, but the crowded field quickly diluted his standing.
Oct 3 2025
Lt. Governor Nancy Dahlstrom certifies application for Ballot Initiative 25USCV, advancing a voter citizenship requirement initiative
Nancy Dahlstrom jumps to 30%9%
Certification of a high-profile ballot initiative under her office may have temporarily boosted confidence in her leadership and political influence.
Oct 2 2025
Dave Bronson officially announces candidacy for Alaska governor at a press event in Fairbanks, entering a crowded Republican primary field as a former Anchorage mayor with
David Bronson plunges to 2%48%
Dave Bronson officially announces candidacy for Alaska governor at a press event in Fairbanks, entering a crowded Republican primary field as a former Anchorage mayor with executive experience
Sep 10 2025
Wilson selects former State Senator Mike Shower as running mate, bolstering campaign with his military and legislative experience
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 23%5%
Wilson selects former State Senator Mike Shower as running mate, bolstering campaign with his military and legislative experience
Aug 24 2025
Nancy Dahlstrom withdraws from Alaska U.S. House race after placing third in primary, consolidating Republican support behind Nick Begich
This withdrawal clarified her focus on the gubernatorial race but may have tempered enthusiasm as she stepped back from a federal office bid.
Aug 15 2025
Tom Begich announces candidacy for Alaska governor
Tom Begich plunges to 9%41%
Begich officially declared his run for governor as the first Democrat in the race, setting the initial market interest. However, the large Republican field and uncertainty about his chances caused a sharp drop in.
May 13 2025
Bernadette Wilson formally announces candidacy for Alaska governor, emphasizing her business background and outsider status
Bernadette Wilson formally announces candidacy for Alaska governor, emphasizing her business background and outsider status
May 5 2025
Nancy Dahlstrom files letter of intent to run for Alaska governor, officially entering the 2026 race and signaling her candidacy to the public
Nancy Dahlstrom plunges to 21%29%
Her formal step to run likely caused initial market re-evaluation and a sharp
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
"Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Tom Begich" con 36%, seguido de "Bernadette Wilson" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " ha generado $948.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska ", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " es "Tom Begich" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Bernadette Wilson" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska ". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $948.7K operados en “Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska ”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska ", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 36¢ para "Tom Begich" en el mercado "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 36% de que "Tom Begich" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 36¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 64¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " está programado para resolverse en o alrededor del Nov 3, 2026. Esto significa que el trading permanecerá abierto y las probabilidades seguirán cambiando hasta esa fecha. El momento exacto de resolución depende de cuándo esté disponible el resultado oficial, como se describe en la sección "Reglas".
El mercado "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska " fue creado recientemente. Sé uno de los primeros en compartir tu análisis publicando un comentario abajo, o vuelve más adelante. También puedes ver la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones recientes.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "Ganador de las elecciones para gobernador de Alaska ". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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