Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Democrats at 83% implied probability to win New Hampshire's open U.S. Senate seat, reflecting Rep. Chris Pappas's polling edge in this battleground state. A University of New Hampshire survey from April 17-21 showed Pappas, the Democratic primary frontrunner at 61%, leading Republican leader John E. Sununu 49%-42% among likely voters and Scott Brown 52%-38%. This builds on an earlier Emerson College poll's near-tie, signaling a slight Democratic widening amid Pappas's incumbency advantage from his House seat. New Hampshire's history of Democratic Senate holds—despite Republican gubernatorial control—bolsters the odds, though the September 8 primaries and national midterm dynamics could shift the competitive race before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de New Hampshire
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de New Hampshire
$26,919 Vol.
$26,919 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
83%
Republicano
17%
$26,919 Vol.
$26,919 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$17,745 Vol.
83%
Republicano
$9,174 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Democrats at 83% implied probability to win New Hampshire's open U.S. Senate seat, reflecting Rep. Chris Pappas's polling edge in this battleground state. A University of New Hampshire survey from April 17-21 showed Pappas, the Democratic primary frontrunner at 61%, leading Republican leader John E. Sununu 49%-42% among likely voters and Scott Brown 52%-38%. This builds on an earlier Emerson College poll's near-tie, signaling a slight Democratic widening amid Pappas's incumbency advantage from his House seat. New Hampshire's history of Democratic Senate holds—despite Republican gubernatorial control—bolsters the odds, though the September 8 primaries and national midterm dynamics could shift the competitive race before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volumen
$26,919Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Democrats at 83% implied probability to win New Hampshire's open U.S. Senate seat, reflecting Rep. Chris Pappas's polling edge in this battleground state. A University of New Hampshire survey from April 17-21 showed Pappas, the Democratic primary frontrunner at 61%, leading Republican leader John E. Sununu 49%-42% among likely voters and Scott Brown 52%-38%. This builds on an earlier Emerson College poll's near-tie, signaling a slight Democratic widening amid Pappas's incumbency advantage from his House seat. New Hampshire's history of Democratic Senate holds—despite Republican gubernatorial control—bolsters the odds, though the September 8 primaries and national midterm dynamics could shift the competitive race before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$26,919Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Democrats at 83% implied probability to win New Hampshire's open U.S. Senate seat, reflecting Rep. Chris Pappas's polling edge in this battleground state. A University of New Hampshire survey from April 17-21 showed Pappas, the Democratic primary frontrunner at 61%, leading Republican leader John E. Sununu 49%-42% among likely voters and Scott Brown 52%-38%. This builds on an earlier Emerson College poll's near-tie, signaling a slight Democratic widening amid Pappas's incumbency advantage from his House seat. New Hampshire's history of Democratic Senate holds—despite Republican gubernatorial control—bolsters the odds, though the September 8 primaries and national midterm dynamics could shift the competitive race before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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