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Política·Parciales

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Política·Parciales

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

André Carson 98.1%

George Hornedo 1.1%

Denise Paul Hatch <1%

Destiny Scott Wells <1%

Polymarket

$22,319 Vol.

André Carson 98.1%

George Hornedo 1.1%

Denise Paul Hatch <1%

Destiny Scott Wells <1%

Polymarket

$22,319 Vol.

André Carson

$10,615 Vol.

98%

George Hornedo

$2,053 Vol.

1%

Denise Paul Hatch

$8,214 Vol.

1%

Destiny Scott Wells

$1,437 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. André Carson commands 98% trader consensus as IN-07 Democratic primary winner on May 5, driven by his 18-year tenure, dominant fundraising ($559,000 cash-on-hand versus under $15,000 each for challengers Destiny Wells, George Hornedo, and Denise Paul Hatch per latest FEC filings), and endorsements from unions like AFL-CIO alongside groups such as Planned Parenthood. Recent campaign finance reports through mid-April underscore challengers' funding gaps despite late entries and criticisms of Carson's effectiveness, with no public polls indicating upset potential amid ongoing early voting. While incumbency historically yields high primary reelection rates, scenarios like a major scandal, surprise turnout surge, or health issue could shift odds in this safe D+21 district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$22,319
Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 1:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. André Carson commands 98% trader consensus as IN-07 Democratic primary winner on May 5, driven by his 18-year tenure, dominant fundraising ($559,000 cash-on-hand versus under $15,000 each for challengers Destiny Wells, George Hornedo, and Denise Paul Hatch per latest FEC filings), and endorsements from unions like AFL-CIO alongside groups such as Planned Parenthood. Recent campaign finance reports through mid-April underscore challengers' funding gaps despite late entries and criticisms of Carson's effectiveness, with no public polls indicating upset potential amid ongoing early voting. While incumbency historically yields high primary reelection rates, scenarios like a major scandal, surprise turnout surge, or health issue could shift odds in this safe D+21 district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$22,319
Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 1:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "André Carson" con 98%, seguido de "George Hornedo" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ha generado $22.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 20, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner" es "André Carson" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "George Hornedo" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.