Recent April 2026 core CPI data printed at 2.8% year-over-year, exceeding the 2.7% consensus and marking the highest reading since late 2025 amid firm services and shelter costs. This outcome, paired with a hotter-than-expected headline print of 3.8%, has anchored trader expectations for the May release scheduled for June 10. Market-implied odds currently cluster tightly around 2.8% and 2.9%, reflecting consensus forecasts of 2.8% and Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.82%. The near-even probabilities between these two outcomes underscore uncertainty over whether the recent uptick in underlying inflation will persist or moderate, with labor market data and any further tariff-related price pressures serving as key swing factors ahead of the Bureau of Labor Statistics report.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIPC básico interanual - mayo de 2026
IPC básico interanual - mayo de 2026
2.9% 51%
2.8% 30%
3.1% 23.1%
3.2% 18.6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 jun 2026
≤2.4%
1%
2.5%
6%
2.6%
7%
2.7%
10%
2.8%
42%
2.9%
51%
3.0%
11%
3.1%
23%
3.2%
19%
≥3.3%
17%
2.9% 51%
2.8% 30%
3.1% 23.1%
3.2% 18.6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 jun 2026
≤2.4%
$468 Vol.
1%
2.5%
$101 Vol.
6%
2.6%
$61 Vol.
7%
2.7%
$111 Vol.
10%
2.8%
$398 Vol.
42%
2.9%
$61 Vol.
51%
3.0%
$161 Vol.
11%
3.1%
$61 Vol.
23%
3.2%
$124 Vol.
19%
≥3.3%
$150 Vol.
17%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April 2026 core CPI data printed at 2.8% year-over-year, exceeding the 2.7% consensus and marking the highest reading since late 2025 amid firm services and shelter costs. This outcome, paired with a hotter-than-expected headline print of 3.8%, has anchored trader expectations for the May release scheduled for June 10. Market-implied odds currently cluster tightly around 2.8% and 2.9%, reflecting consensus forecasts of 2.8% and Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.82%. The near-even probabilities between these two outcomes underscore uncertainty over whether the recent uptick in underlying inflation will persist or moderate, with labor market data and any further tariff-related price pressures serving as key swing factors ahead of the Bureau of Labor Statistics report.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Volumen
$1,699Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April 2026 core CPI data printed at 2.8% year-over-year, exceeding the 2.7% consensus and marking the highest reading since late 2025 amid firm services and shelter costs. This outcome, paired with a hotter-than-expected headline print of 3.8%, has anchored trader expectations for the May release scheduled for June 10. Market-implied odds currently cluster tightly around 2.8% and 2.9%, reflecting consensus forecasts of 2.8% and Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.82%. The near-even probabilities between these two outcomes underscore uncertainty over whether the recent uptick in underlying inflation will persist or moderate, with labor market data and any further tariff-related price pressures serving as key swing factors ahead of the Bureau of Labor Statistics report.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$1,699Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April 2026 core CPI data printed at 2.8% year-over-year, exceeding the 2.7% consensus and marking the highest reading since late 2025 amid firm services and shelter costs. This outcome, paired with a hotter-than-expected headline print of 3.8%, has anchored trader expectations for the May release scheduled for June 10. Market-implied odds currently cluster tightly around 2.8% and 2.9%, reflecting consensus forecasts of 2.8% and Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.82%. The near-even probabilities between these two outcomes underscore uncertainty over whether the recent uptick in underlying inflation will persist or moderate, with labor market data and any further tariff-related price pressures serving as key swing factors ahead of the Bureau of Labor Statistics report.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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