US banks entered June 2026 with resilient capital positions, including common equity tier 1 ratios above 14 percent, ample liquidity, and stable funding sources well below 2023 peaks, according to the Federal Reserve’s May Financial Stability Report. The two failures recorded this year involved small institutions with under $300 million in assets each, resolved in an orderly manner by the FDIC without broader contagion. Sector outlooks from Fitch and S&P remain neutral to supportive amid lower rates and contained credit risks, with no major stress indicators emerging since the May 1 resolution. These factors underpin traders’ 72 percent implied probability of no additional failure before the June 30 resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.US banks entered June 2026 with resilient capital positions, including common equity tier 1 ratios above 14 percent, ample liquidity, and stable funding sources well below 2023 peaks, according to the Federal Reserve’s May Financial Stability Report. The two failures recorded this year involved small institutions with under $300 million in assets each, resolved in an orderly manner by the FDIC without broader contagion. Sector outlooks from Fitch and S&P remain neutral to supportive amid lower rates and contained credit risks, with no major stress indicators emerging since the May 1 resolution. These factors underpin traders’ 72 percent implied probability of no additional failure before the June 30 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volumen
$4,923Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.US banks entered June 2026 with resilient capital positions, including common equity tier 1 ratios above 14 percent, ample liquidity, and stable funding sources well below 2023 peaks, according to the Federal Reserve’s May Financial Stability Report. The two failures recorded this year involved small institutions with under $300 million in assets each, resolved in an orderly manner by the FDIC without broader contagion. Sector outlooks from Fitch and S&P remain neutral to supportive amid lower rates and contained credit risks, with no major stress indicators emerging since the May 1 resolution. These factors underpin traders’ 72 percent implied probability of no additional failure before the June 30 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Volumen
$4,923Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US banks entered June 2026 with resilient capital positions, including common equity tier 1 ratios above 14 percent, ample liquidity, and stable funding sources well below 2023 peaks, according to the Federal Reserve’s May Financial Stability Report. The two failures recorded this year involved small institutions with under $300 million in assets each, resolved in an orderly manner by the FDIC without broader contagion. Sector outlooks from Fitch and S&P remain neutral to supportive amid lower rates and contained credit risks, with no major stress indicators emerging since the May 1 resolution. These factors underpin traders’ 72 percent implied probability of no additional failure before the June 30 resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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