The April 2026 PPI release, which printed at 6.0% year-over-year against a 4.9% consensus and prior 4.3% reading, serves as the dominant catalyst behind current market-implied odds for the May figure due June 11. That 1.4% monthly advance—the largest since March 2022—stemmed from broad-based gains in final demand services, goods, and energy costs linked to geopolitical tensions, pushing the annual rate to its highest level since December 2022. Traders now price roughly even odds between a 5.0%–5.9% and 6.0%–6.9% outcome, reflecting uncertainty over whether April’s spike reflects transitory base effects or sustained wholesale price momentum. Lower and higher brackets trade thinly, underscoring limited conviction for a sharp reversal or further acceleration ahead of the next data point.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoProducer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026
5.0%–5.9% 49%
6.0%–6.9% 43%
7.0%–7.9% 5%
4.0%–4.9% 3.0%
<3.0%
1%
3.0%–3.9%
<1%
4.0%–4.9%
3%
5.0%–5.9%
49%
6.0%–6.9%
43%
7.0%–7.9%
5%
8.0%+
2%
5.0%–5.9% 49%
6.0%–6.9% 43%
7.0%–7.9% 5%
4.0%–4.9% 3.0%
<3.0%
1%
3.0%–3.9%
<1%
4.0%–4.9%
3%
5.0%–5.9%
49%
6.0%–6.9%
43%
7.0%–7.9%
5%
8.0%+
2%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports the 12-month percent change in the Producer Price Index for final demand to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: May 29, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports the 12-month percent change in the Producer Price Index for final demand to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The April 2026 PPI release, which printed at 6.0% year-over-year against a 4.9% consensus and prior 4.3% reading, serves as the dominant catalyst behind current market-implied odds for the May figure due June 11. That 1.4% monthly advance—the largest since March 2022—stemmed from broad-based gains in final demand services, goods, and energy costs linked to geopolitical tensions, pushing the annual rate to its highest level since December 2022. Traders now price roughly even odds between a 5.0%–5.9% and 6.0%–6.9% outcome, reflecting uncertainty over whether April’s spike reflects transitory base effects or sustained wholesale price momentum. Lower and higher brackets trade thinly, underscoring limited conviction for a sharp reversal or further acceleration ahead of the next data point.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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