Recent USDA APHIS confirmations show New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) detections expanding across Texas counties including Zavala, La Salle, Gillespie, and Tom Green, with eight total animal cases by mid-June 2026, driven by northward movement from an ongoing outbreak in Mexico and Central America since 2023. No livestock cases have been verified beyond Texas borders, though a dog case occurred in New Mexico’s Lea County. Key drivers include warmer conditions aiding fly survival, livestock movement risks, and the parasite’s life cycle in wounds. Control relies on sterile insect technique releases, 20 km infested zones, quarantines, and expanded surveillance by APHIS and state partners, with further model updates and case reports likely to shift implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCaso confirmado de gusano barrenador de EE. UU. en ganado más allá de Texas por...
Caso confirmado de gusano barrenador de EE. UU. en ganado más allá de Texas por...
NUEVO
30 de junio
41%
30 de agosto
55%
31 de octubre
41%
31 de diciembre
50%
$675 Vol.
30 de junio
$354 Vol.
41%
30 de agosto
$321 Vol.
55%
31 de octubre
$0 Vol.
41%
31 de diciembre
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent USDA APHIS confirmations show New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) detections expanding across Texas counties including Zavala, La Salle, Gillespie, and Tom Green, with eight total animal cases by mid-June 2026, driven by northward movement from an ongoing outbreak in Mexico and Central America since 2023. No livestock cases have been verified beyond Texas borders, though a dog case occurred in New Mexico’s Lea County. Key drivers include warmer conditions aiding fly survival, livestock movement risks, and the parasite’s life cycle in wounds. Control relies on sterile insect technique releases, 20 km infested zones, quarantines, and expanded surveillance by APHIS and state partners, with further model updates and case reports likely to shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
Volumen
$675Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent USDA APHIS confirmations show New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) detections expanding across Texas counties including Zavala, La Salle, Gillespie, and Tom Green, with eight total animal cases by mid-June 2026, driven by northward movement from an ongoing outbreak in Mexico and Central America since 2023. No livestock cases have been verified beyond Texas borders, though a dog case occurred in New Mexico’s Lea County. Key drivers include warmer conditions aiding fly survival, livestock movement risks, and the parasite’s life cycle in wounds. Control relies on sterile insect technique releases, 20 km infested zones, quarantines, and expanded surveillance by APHIS and state partners, with further model updates and case reports likely to shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$675Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent USDA APHIS confirmations show New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) detections expanding across Texas counties including Zavala, La Salle, Gillespie, and Tom Green, with eight total animal cases by mid-June 2026, driven by northward movement from an ongoing outbreak in Mexico and Central America since 2023. No livestock cases have been verified beyond Texas borders, though a dog case occurred in New Mexico’s Lea County. Key drivers include warmer conditions aiding fly survival, livestock movement risks, and the parasite’s life cycle in wounds. Control relies on sterile insect technique releases, 20 km infested zones, quarantines, and expanded surveillance by APHIS and state partners, with further model updates and case reports likely to shift implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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