Recent detections of New World screwworm (NWS), with six confirmed U.S. animal cases since the first in a Zavala County, Texas calf on June 3, 2026—including additional Texas livestock and a New Mexico dog—have heightened trader focus on a potential federal national emergency declaration. USDA-APHIS and Texas officials are deploying sterile male fly releases, movement controls, and surveillance per established eradication protocols, while CDC activated a Level 3 Emergency Operations Center on June 11 to support the One Health response. NWS larvae cause obligatory myiasis by burrowing into living tissue, historically eradicated from the U.S. in the 1960s but now advancing northward from Mexico amid 2023–2025 Central American spread. Key upcoming developments include expanded case reporting dashboards, FDA-authorized treatments, and model updates on fly dispersal that could trigger or avert a presidential or HHS declaration if human or widespread livestock impacts escalate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoScrewworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
NUEVO
1 ene 2027
30 de junio
39%
August 30
51%
31 de octubre
50%
December 31
52%
$150 Vol.
30 de junio
$150 Vol.
39%
August 30
$0 Vol.
51%
31 de octubre
$0 Vol.
50%
December 31
$0 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (NWS), with six confirmed U.S. animal cases since the first in a Zavala County, Texas calf on June 3, 2026—including additional Texas livestock and a New Mexico dog—have heightened trader focus on a potential federal national emergency declaration. USDA-APHIS and Texas officials are deploying sterile male fly releases, movement controls, and surveillance per established eradication protocols, while CDC activated a Level 3 Emergency Operations Center on June 11 to support the One Health response. NWS larvae cause obligatory myiasis by burrowing into living tissue, historically eradicated from the U.S. in the 1960s but now advancing northward from Mexico amid 2023–2025 Central American spread. Key upcoming developments include expanded case reporting dashboards, FDA-authorized treatments, and model updates on fly dispersal that could trigger or avert a presidential or HHS declaration if human or widespread livestock impacts escalate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Volumen
$150Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (NWS), with six confirmed U.S. animal cases since the first in a Zavala County, Texas calf on June 3, 2026—including additional Texas livestock and a New Mexico dog—have heightened trader focus on a potential federal national emergency declaration. USDA-APHIS and Texas officials are deploying sterile male fly releases, movement controls, and surveillance per established eradication protocols, while CDC activated a Level 3 Emergency Operations Center on June 11 to support the One Health response. NWS larvae cause obligatory myiasis by burrowing into living tissue, historically eradicated from the U.S. in the 1960s but now advancing northward from Mexico amid 2023–2025 Central American spread. Key upcoming developments include expanded case reporting dashboards, FDA-authorized treatments, and model updates on fly dispersal that could trigger or avert a presidential or HHS declaration if human or widespread livestock impacts escalate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$150Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (NWS), with six confirmed U.S. animal cases since the first in a Zavala County, Texas calf on June 3, 2026—including additional Texas livestock and a New Mexico dog—have heightened trader focus on a potential federal national emergency declaration. USDA-APHIS and Texas officials are deploying sterile male fly releases, movement controls, and surveillance per established eradication protocols, while CDC activated a Level 3 Emergency Operations Center on June 11 to support the One Health response. NWS larvae cause obligatory myiasis by burrowing into living tissue, historically eradicated from the U.S. in the 1960s but now advancing northward from Mexico amid 2023–2025 Central American spread. Key upcoming developments include expanded case reporting dashboards, FDA-authorized treatments, and model updates on fly dispersal that could trigger or avert a presidential or HHS declaration if human or widespread livestock impacts escalate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes