Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.2% implied probability for Canada’s 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 2.5–2.9% range, narrowly ahead of 37.5% for 2.0–2.4%, amid uncertainty over Middle East tensions driving oil prices higher. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.4% year-over-year from 1.8% in February, propelled by a 21% monthly gasoline surge, while CPI excluding gasoline eased slightly to 2.2%; the Bank of Canada’s April 29 Monetary Policy Report projects inflation rising through mid-2026 before easing toward 2%, with averages around 2.5% per fiscal forecasts. Key differentiators include oil shock persistence versus base effects and core stability, with April CPI due May 19 and the next policy decision June 10 pivotal for sentiment shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoInflación anual de Canadá 2026
Inflación anual de Canadá 2026
2.5–2.9% 46.2%
2.0–2.4% 37.4%
4.0%+ 10.6%
3,5-3,9% 9.0%
$16,051 Vol.
$16,051 Vol.
18 ene 2027
<1,0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
9%
1.5–1.9%
9%
2.0–2.4%
37%
2.5–2.9%
46%
3,0-3,4%
2%
3,5-3,9%
9%
4.0%+
9%
2.5–2.9% 46.2%
2.0–2.4% 37.4%
4.0%+ 10.6%
3,5-3,9% 9.0%
$16,051 Vol.
$16,051 Vol.
18 ene 2027
<1,0%
$292 Vol.
1%
1.0–1.4%
$339 Vol.
9%
1.5–1.9%
$573 Vol.
9%
2.0–2.4%
$414 Vol.
37%
2.5–2.9%
$486 Vol.
46%
3,0-3,4%
$13,345 Vol.
2%
3,5-3,9%
$268 Vol.
9%
4.0%+
$335 Vol.
9%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.2% implied probability for Canada’s 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 2.5–2.9% range, narrowly ahead of 37.5% for 2.0–2.4%, amid uncertainty over Middle East tensions driving oil prices higher. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.4% year-over-year from 1.8% in February, propelled by a 21% monthly gasoline surge, while CPI excluding gasoline eased slightly to 2.2%; the Bank of Canada’s April 29 Monetary Policy Report projects inflation rising through mid-2026 before easing toward 2%, with averages around 2.5% per fiscal forecasts. Key differentiators include oil shock persistence versus base effects and core stability, with April CPI due May 19 and the next policy decision June 10 pivotal for sentiment shifts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volumen
$16,051Fecha de finalización
18 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.2% implied probability for Canada’s 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 2.5–2.9% range, narrowly ahead of 37.5% for 2.0–2.4%, amid uncertainty over Middle East tensions driving oil prices higher. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.4% year-over-year from 1.8% in February, propelled by a 21% monthly gasoline surge, while CPI excluding gasoline eased slightly to 2.2%; the Bank of Canada’s April 29 Monetary Policy Report projects inflation rising through mid-2026 before easing toward 2%, with averages around 2.5% per fiscal forecasts. Key differentiators include oil shock persistence versus base effects and core stability, with April CPI due May 19 and the next policy decision June 10 pivotal for sentiment shifts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Volumen
$16,051Fecha de finalización
18 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.2% implied probability for Canada’s 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 2.5–2.9% range, narrowly ahead of 37.5% for 2.0–2.4%, amid uncertainty over Middle East tensions driving oil prices higher. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.4% year-over-year from 1.8% in February, propelled by a 21% monthly gasoline surge, while CPI excluding gasoline eased slightly to 2.2%; the Bank of Canada’s April 29 Monetary Policy Report projects inflation rising through mid-2026 before easing toward 2%, with averages around 2.5% per fiscal forecasts. Key differentiators include oil shock persistence versus base effects and core stability, with April CPI due May 19 and the next policy decision June 10 pivotal for sentiment shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes