**Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Argentina's 2026 annual CPI inflation—likely INDEC's December year-over-year figure—in a tight race, with the 30.0-34.9% bin at 15.6% implied probability edging out 20-24.9% at 14.7%, reflecting uncertainty over President Milei's disinflation trajectory amid fiscal austerity and monetary tightening.** March 2026 CPI rose 3.4% month-over-month—the year's highest, exceeding 3.0% consensus—lifting first-quarter cumulative inflation to 9.4% and annual rate to 32.6% year-over-year, prompting upward revisions in forecasts like the Central Bank's REM survey at 29.1% and Reuters median at 30%. Accelerating monthly prints signal potential stall risks from regulated price adjustments and external shocks, while optimists bet on peso stabilization and falling core pressures; April INDEC data, due mid-May, looms as the key swing factor.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado20-24,9% 14.7%
35–39.9% 12.6%
40-44,9% 12.6%
25-29,9% 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ene 2027
<20%
12%
20-24,9%
15%
25-29,9%
19%
30.0-34.9%
16%
35–39.9%
13%
40-44,9%
13%
45%+
7%
20-24,9% 14.7%
35–39.9% 12.6%
40-44,9% 12.6%
25-29,9% 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ene 2027
<20%
$2,432 Vol.
12%
20-24,9%
$1,391 Vol.
15%
25-29,9%
$1,479 Vol.
19%
30.0-34.9%
$814 Vol.
16%
35–39.9%
$851 Vol.
13%
40-44,9%
$889 Vol.
13%
45%+
$1,027 Vol.
7%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Argentina's 2026 annual CPI inflation—likely INDEC's December year-over-year figure—in a tight race, with the 30.0-34.9% bin at 15.6% implied probability edging out 20-24.9% at 14.7%, reflecting uncertainty over President Milei's disinflation trajectory amid fiscal austerity and monetary tightening.** March 2026 CPI rose 3.4% month-over-month—the year's highest, exceeding 3.0% consensus—lifting first-quarter cumulative inflation to 9.4% and annual rate to 32.6% year-over-year, prompting upward revisions in forecasts like the Central Bank's REM survey at 29.1% and Reuters median at 30%. Accelerating monthly prints signal potential stall risks from regulated price adjustments and external shocks, while optimists bet on peso stabilization and falling core pressures; April INDEC data, due mid-May, looms as the key swing factor.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volumen
$8,883Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Argentina's 2026 annual CPI inflation—likely INDEC's December year-over-year figure—in a tight race, with the 30.0-34.9% bin at 15.6% implied probability edging out 20-24.9% at 14.7%, reflecting uncertainty over President Milei's disinflation trajectory amid fiscal austerity and monetary tightening.** March 2026 CPI rose 3.4% month-over-month—the year's highest, exceeding 3.0% consensus—lifting first-quarter cumulative inflation to 9.4% and annual rate to 32.6% year-over-year, prompting upward revisions in forecasts like the Central Bank's REM survey at 29.1% and Reuters median at 30%. Accelerating monthly prints signal potential stall risks from regulated price adjustments and external shocks, while optimists bet on peso stabilization and falling core pressures; April INDEC data, due mid-May, looms as the key swing factor.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$8,883Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Argentina's 2026 annual CPI inflation—likely INDEC's December year-over-year figure—in a tight race, with the 30.0-34.9% bin at 15.6% implied probability edging out 20-24.9% at 14.7%, reflecting uncertainty over President Milei's disinflation trajectory amid fiscal austerity and monetary tightening.** March 2026 CPI rose 3.4% month-over-month—the year's highest, exceeding 3.0% consensus—lifting first-quarter cumulative inflation to 9.4% and annual rate to 32.6% year-over-year, prompting upward revisions in forecasts like the Central Bank's REM survey at 29.1% and Reuters median at 30%. Accelerating monthly prints signal potential stall risks from regulated price adjustments and external shocks, while optimists bet on peso stabilization and falling core pressures; April INDEC data, due mid-May, looms as the key swing factor.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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