Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices April 2026 monthly CPI at a razor-thin contest between 0.6% (34%) and 0.5% (32.5%), reflecting uncertainty after March's headline surge to 0.9%—driven by a 10.9% energy spike amid geopolitical tensions and elevated oil prices near $108/barrel—while core CPI rose a more modest 0.2%. This hot print reversed prior disinflation trends, prompting the Fed's April 29 FOMC to hold rates steady amid internal dissent and flag persistent inflation pressures. Key swing factors include potential energy mean reversion versus sticky shelter costs and softening leading economic indicators like the declining Conference Board LEI; the official BLS release, expected mid-May, will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$19,566 Vol.
$19,566 Vol.
≤0.3%
3%
0.4%
12%
0.5%
33%
0.6%
34%
0.7%
15%
0.8%
4%
0.9%
2%
1.0%
1%
≥1.1%
2%
$19,566 Vol.
$19,566 Vol.
≤0.3%
3%
0.4%
12%
0.5%
33%
0.6%
34%
0.7%
15%
0.8%
4%
0.9%
2%
1.0%
1%
≥1.1%
2%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices April 2026 monthly CPI at a razor-thin contest between 0.6% (34%) and 0.5% (32.5%), reflecting uncertainty after March's headline surge to 0.9%—driven by a 10.9% energy spike amid geopolitical tensions and elevated oil prices near $108/barrel—while core CPI rose a more modest 0.2%. This hot print reversed prior disinflation trends, prompting the Fed's April 29 FOMC to hold rates steady amid internal dissent and flag persistent inflation pressures. Key swing factors include potential energy mean reversion versus sticky shelter costs and softening leading economic indicators like the declining Conference Board LEI; the official BLS release, expected mid-May, will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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