India's retail inflation has accelerated modestly in recent months, with the May 2026 CPI print reaching 3.93% year-over-year, driven by higher food and energy costs linked to Middle East geopolitical tensions. The Reserve Bank of India has responded with successive upward revisions to its FY27 (2026-27) forecast, most recently lifting the projection to 5.1% from 4.6%, citing supply-side risks including crude oil volatility and potential monsoon weakness. These developments, alongside sustained core inflation near 3.9%, underpin the market-implied odds heavily favoring an annual rate above 4.50%, consistent with the central bank's 2-6% target band while acknowledging persistent price pressures into 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado4,50%+ 87%
3,75% a 4,49% 4.9%
<0,75% 3.3%
1,50% a 2,24% 2.4%
$61,376 Vol.
$61,376 Vol.
12 ene 2027
<0,75%
3%
0,75% a 1,49%
1%
1,50% a 2,24%
2%
2.25% a 2.99%
1%
3,00% a 3,74%
<1%
3,75% a 4,49%
5%
4,50%+
87%
4,50%+ 87%
3,75% a 4,49% 4.9%
<0,75% 3.3%
1,50% a 2,24% 2.4%
$61,376 Vol.
$61,376 Vol.
12 ene 2027
<0,75%
$836 Vol.
3%
0,75% a 1,49%
$555 Vol.
1%
1,50% a 2,24%
$445 Vol.
2%
2.25% a 2.99%
$24,061 Vol.
1%
3,00% a 3,74%
$637 Vol.
<1%
3,75% a 4,49%
$23,404 Vol.
5%
4,50%+
$11,437 Vol.
87%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's retail inflation has accelerated modestly in recent months, with the May 2026 CPI print reaching 3.93% year-over-year, driven by higher food and energy costs linked to Middle East geopolitical tensions. The Reserve Bank of India has responded with successive upward revisions to its FY27 (2026-27) forecast, most recently lifting the projection to 5.1% from 4.6%, citing supply-side risks including crude oil volatility and potential monsoon weakness. These developments, alongside sustained core inflation near 3.9%, underpin the market-implied odds heavily favoring an annual rate above 4.50%, consistent with the central bank's 2-6% target band while acknowledging persistent price pressures into 2026.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Mercado abierto: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volumen
$61,376Fecha de finalización
12 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's retail inflation has accelerated modestly in recent months, with the May 2026 CPI print reaching 3.93% year-over-year, driven by higher food and energy costs linked to Middle East geopolitical tensions. The Reserve Bank of India has responded with successive upward revisions to its FY27 (2026-27) forecast, most recently lifting the projection to 5.1% from 4.6%, citing supply-side risks including crude oil volatility and potential monsoon weakness. These developments, alongside sustained core inflation near 3.9%, underpin the market-implied odds heavily favoring an annual rate above 4.50%, consistent with the central bank's 2-6% target band while acknowledging persistent price pressures into 2026.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Volumen
$61,376Fecha de finalización
12 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...India's retail inflation has accelerated modestly in recent months, with the May 2026 CPI print reaching 3.93% year-over-year, driven by higher food and energy costs linked to Middle East geopolitical tensions. The Reserve Bank of India has responded with successive upward revisions to its FY27 (2026-27) forecast, most recently lifting the projection to 5.1% from 4.6%, citing supply-side risks including crude oil volatility and potential monsoon weakness. These developments, alongside sustained core inflation near 3.9%, underpin the market-implied odds heavily favoring an annual rate above 4.50%, consistent with the central bank's 2-6% target band while acknowledging persistent price pressures into 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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