Eurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 shows trader consensus leaning toward elevated levels, with 47% implied probability on 3.1%+ and 36.5% on 2.8-3.0%, driven by April's flash estimate surging to 3.0%—up from 2.6% in March—amid spiking energy prices and oil volatility. Core inflation eased slightly to 2.2%, signaling stickier services pressures, while meager 0.1% Q1 GDP growth tempers disinflation bets. ECB's March staff projections peg 2026 average at 2.6%, revised higher on energy persistence, yet consumer surveys reveal one-year-ahead expectations jumping to 4.0%. Upcoming May HICP flash (late May) and June ECB meeting could shift odds if energy trends stabilize or wage data surprises.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoInflación anual de la zona euro 2026
Inflación anual de la zona euro 2026
3.1%+ 44.3%
2,8-3,0% 31.8%
1,0–1,2% 31.3%
1,6–1,8% 30.2%
$10,248 Vol.
$10,248 Vol.
19 ene 2027
<1,0%
2%
1,0–1,2%
31%
1,3–1,5%
10%
1,6–1,8%
30%
1,9–2,1%
1%
2,2–2,4%
17%
2,5–2,7%
2%
2,8-3,0%
32%
3.1%+
37%
3.1%+ 44.3%
2,8-3,0% 31.8%
1,0–1,2% 31.3%
1,6–1,8% 30.2%
$10,248 Vol.
$10,248 Vol.
19 ene 2027
<1,0%
$758 Vol.
2%
1,0–1,2%
$714 Vol.
31%
1,3–1,5%
$729 Vol.
10%
1,6–1,8%
$712 Vol.
30%
1,9–2,1%
$2,770 Vol.
1%
2,2–2,4%
$832 Vol.
17%
2,5–2,7%
$1,106 Vol.
2%
2,8-3,0%
$630 Vol.
32%
3.1%+
$1,998 Vol.
37%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlEurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 shows trader consensus leaning toward elevated levels, with 47% implied probability on 3.1%+ and 36.5% on 2.8-3.0%, driven by April's flash estimate surging to 3.0%—up from 2.6% in March—amid spiking energy prices and oil volatility. Core inflation eased slightly to 2.2%, signaling stickier services pressures, while meager 0.1% Q1 GDP growth tempers disinflation bets. ECB's March staff projections peg 2026 average at 2.6%, revised higher on energy persistence, yet consumer surveys reveal one-year-ahead expectations jumping to 4.0%. Upcoming May HICP flash (late May) and June ECB meeting could shift odds if energy trends stabilize or wage data surprises.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volumen
$10,248Fecha de finalización
19 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlEurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 shows trader consensus leaning toward elevated levels, with 47% implied probability on 3.1%+ and 36.5% on 2.8-3.0%, driven by April's flash estimate surging to 3.0%—up from 2.6% in March—amid spiking energy prices and oil volatility. Core inflation eased slightly to 2.2%, signaling stickier services pressures, while meager 0.1% Q1 GDP growth tempers disinflation bets. ECB's March staff projections peg 2026 average at 2.6%, revised higher on energy persistence, yet consumer surveys reveal one-year-ahead expectations jumping to 4.0%. Upcoming May HICP flash (late May) and June ECB meeting could shift odds if energy trends stabilize or wage data surprises.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Volumen
$10,248Fecha de finalización
19 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Eurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 shows trader consensus leaning toward elevated levels, with 47% implied probability on 3.1%+ and 36.5% on 2.8-3.0%, driven by April's flash estimate surging to 3.0%—up from 2.6% in March—amid spiking energy prices and oil volatility. Core inflation eased slightly to 2.2%, signaling stickier services pressures, while meager 0.1% Q1 GDP growth tempers disinflation bets. ECB's March staff projections peg 2026 average at 2.6%, revised higher on energy persistence, yet consumer surveys reveal one-year-ahead expectations jumping to 4.0%. Upcoming May HICP flash (late May) and June ECB meeting could shift odds if energy trends stabilize or wage data surprises.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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