South Korea’s May 2026 CPI rose 3.1% year-over-year, the highest reading since March 2024 and above the 3.0% consensus, driven primarily by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions that lifted energy, transport, and food components. The Bank of Korea’s latest outlook projects full-year 2026 headline inflation at 2.7%, up from prior estimates, while holding the policy rate at 2.50% and signaling potential tightening if pressures persist. These developments underpin trader positioning, with the 3.0%+ outcome commanding the highest implied probability as markets price in sustained external shocks and limited near-term moderation. Upcoming monthly releases and any further geopolitical developments will likely influence whether the annual average settles above or below the 2.7% benchmark.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado3,0%+ 56%
1,8% a 2,0% 29.2%
2,4% a 2,6% 26.2%
2,7% a 2,9% 13.1%
$11,310 Vol.
$11,310 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1,5%
4%
1,5% a 1,7%
7%
1,8% a 2,0%
29%
2,1% a 2,3%
26%
2,4% a 2,6%
26%
2,7% a 2,9%
27%
3,0%+
63%
3,0%+ 56%
1,8% a 2,0% 29.2%
2,4% a 2,6% 26.2%
2,7% a 2,9% 13.1%
$11,310 Vol.
$11,310 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1,5%
$1,260 Vol.
4%
1,5% a 1,7%
$1,046 Vol.
7%
1,8% a 2,0%
$110 Vol.
29%
2,1% a 2,3%
$159 Vol.
26%
2,4% a 2,6%
$145 Vol.
26%
2,7% a 2,9%
$139 Vol.
27%
3,0%+
$8,452 Vol.
63%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000South Korea’s May 2026 CPI rose 3.1% year-over-year, the highest reading since March 2024 and above the 3.0% consensus, driven primarily by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions that lifted energy, transport, and food components. The Bank of Korea’s latest outlook projects full-year 2026 headline inflation at 2.7%, up from prior estimates, while holding the policy rate at 2.50% and signaling potential tightening if pressures persist. These developments underpin trader positioning, with the 3.0%+ outcome commanding the highest implied probability as markets price in sustained external shocks and limited near-term moderation. Upcoming monthly releases and any further geopolitical developments will likely influence whether the annual average settles above or below the 2.7% benchmark.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volumen
$11,310Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000South Korea’s May 2026 CPI rose 3.1% year-over-year, the highest reading since March 2024 and above the 3.0% consensus, driven primarily by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions that lifted energy, transport, and food components. The Bank of Korea’s latest outlook projects full-year 2026 headline inflation at 2.7%, up from prior estimates, while holding the policy rate at 2.50% and signaling potential tightening if pressures persist. These developments underpin trader positioning, with the 3.0%+ outcome commanding the highest implied probability as markets price in sustained external shocks and limited near-term moderation. Upcoming monthly releases and any further geopolitical developments will likely influence whether the annual average settles above or below the 2.7% benchmark.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volumen
$11,310Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea’s May 2026 CPI rose 3.1% year-over-year, the highest reading since March 2024 and above the 3.0% consensus, driven primarily by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions that lifted energy, transport, and food components. The Bank of Korea’s latest outlook projects full-year 2026 headline inflation at 2.7%, up from prior estimates, while holding the policy rate at 2.50% and signaling potential tightening if pressures persist. These developments underpin trader positioning, with the 3.0%+ outcome commanding the highest implied probability as markets price in sustained external shocks and limited near-term moderation. Upcoming monthly releases and any further geopolitical developments will likely influence whether the annual average settles above or below the 2.7% benchmark.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes