Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting heightened upside risks from surging oil prices amid Middle East tensions, as evidenced by March 2026 CPI rising to 2.2% year-over-year—below the 2.4% forecast but marking a three-month high. The Bank of Korea held its policy rate steady at 2.5% on April 10, warning inflation could surpass its 2.2% forecast, while IMF projections point to 2.5%; nearby bins at 2.4–2.6% (34%) and 2.7–2.9% (32%) capture this range amid robust semiconductor-driven growth. April CPI data, due May 6, and the next Monetary Policy Board meeting loom as key catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado3,0%+ 47%
2,4% a 2,6% 34.0%
1,8% a 2,0% 22.4%
1,5% a 1,7% 2%
$10,844 Vol.
$10,844 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1,5%
31%
1,5% a 1,7%
22%
1,8% a 2,0%
22%
2,1% a 2,3%
30%
2,4% a 2,6%
34%
2,7% a 2,9%
32%
3,0%+
47%
3,0%+ 47%
2,4% a 2,6% 34.0%
1,8% a 2,0% 22.4%
1,5% a 1,7% 2%
$10,844 Vol.
$10,844 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1,5%
$950 Vol.
31%
1,5% a 1,7%
$959 Vol.
22%
1,8% a 2,0%
$103 Vol.
22%
2,1% a 2,3%
$159 Vol.
30%
2,4% a 2,6%
$143 Vol.
34%
2,7% a 2,9%
$134 Vol.
32%
3,0%+
$8,397 Vol.
47%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting heightened upside risks from surging oil prices amid Middle East tensions, as evidenced by March 2026 CPI rising to 2.2% year-over-year—below the 2.4% forecast but marking a three-month high. The Bank of Korea held its policy rate steady at 2.5% on April 10, warning inflation could surpass its 2.2% forecast, while IMF projections point to 2.5%; nearby bins at 2.4–2.6% (34%) and 2.7–2.9% (32%) capture this range amid robust semiconductor-driven growth. April CPI data, due May 6, and the next Monetary Policy Board meeting loom as key catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volumen
$10,844Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting heightened upside risks from surging oil prices amid Middle East tensions, as evidenced by March 2026 CPI rising to 2.2% year-over-year—below the 2.4% forecast but marking a three-month high. The Bank of Korea held its policy rate steady at 2.5% on April 10, warning inflation could surpass its 2.2% forecast, while IMF projections point to 2.5%; nearby bins at 2.4–2.6% (34%) and 2.7–2.9% (32%) capture this range amid robust semiconductor-driven growth. April CPI data, due May 6, and the next Monetary Policy Board meeting loom as key catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volumen
$10,844Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46% implied probability for South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 3.0%, reflecting heightened upside risks from surging oil prices amid Middle East tensions, as evidenced by March 2026 CPI rising to 2.2% year-over-year—below the 2.4% forecast but marking a three-month high. The Bank of Korea held its policy rate steady at 2.5% on April 10, warning inflation could surpass its 2.2% forecast, while IMF projections point to 2.5%; nearby bins at 2.4–2.6% (34%) and 2.7–2.9% (32%) capture this range amid robust semiconductor-driven growth. April CPI data, due May 6, and the next Monetary Policy Board meeting loom as key catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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