Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an April 2026 CPI year-over-year rate around 3.7%, with 3.7% (35.3% implied probability), 3.8% (27.4%), and 3.6% (18.5%) leading amid tight competition reflecting uncertainty in energy price moderation. March's hotter-than-expected 3.3% print—up sharply from February's 2.4% on a 10.9% energy surge led by gasoline—has anchored sentiment higher, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts hold at 3.56% headline and 2.56% core as of April 30. Sticky shelter costs and persistent services inflation counter potential base effects, with geopolitical risks weighing on oil. Key swing factor: April energy data ahead of the May 12 BLS release, which could tip odds toward or away from 3.8% if gasoline volatility endures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$164,299 Vol.
$164,299 Vol.
12 may 2026
≤3,1%
1%
3,2%
<1%
3,3%
1%
3,4%
1%
3,5%
11%
3,6%
19%
3,7%
35%
3,8%
27%
3,9%
6%
4,0 %
2%
≥4,1%
1%
$164,299 Vol.
$164,299 Vol.
12 may 2026
≤3,1%
$8,481 Vol.
1%
3,2%
$5,174 Vol.
<1%
3,3%
$5,304 Vol.
1%
3,4%
$6,909 Vol.
1%
3,5%
$7,525 Vol.
11%
3,6%
$15,950 Vol.
19%
3,7%
$32,248 Vol.
35%
3,8%
$39,181 Vol.
27%
3,9%
$22,103 Vol.
6%
4,0 %
$9,789 Vol.
2%
≥4,1%
$11,634 Vol.
1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an April 2026 CPI year-over-year rate around 3.7%, with 3.7% (35.3% implied probability), 3.8% (27.4%), and 3.6% (18.5%) leading amid tight competition reflecting uncertainty in energy price moderation. March's hotter-than-expected 3.3% print—up sharply from February's 2.4% on a 10.9% energy surge led by gasoline—has anchored sentiment higher, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts hold at 3.56% headline and 2.56% core as of April 30. Sticky shelter costs and persistent services inflation counter potential base effects, with geopolitical risks weighing on oil. Key swing factor: April energy data ahead of the May 12 BLS release, which could tip odds toward or away from 3.8% if gasoline volatility endures.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Volumen
$164,299Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an April 2026 CPI year-over-year rate around 3.7%, with 3.7% (35.3% implied probability), 3.8% (27.4%), and 3.6% (18.5%) leading amid tight competition reflecting uncertainty in energy price moderation. March's hotter-than-expected 3.3% print—up sharply from February's 2.4% on a 10.9% energy surge led by gasoline—has anchored sentiment higher, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts hold at 3.56% headline and 2.56% core as of April 30. Sticky shelter costs and persistent services inflation counter potential base effects, with geopolitical risks weighing on oil. Key swing factor: April energy data ahead of the May 12 BLS release, which could tip odds toward or away from 3.8% if gasoline volatility endures.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$164,299Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an April 2026 CPI year-over-year rate around 3.7%, with 3.7% (35.3% implied probability), 3.8% (27.4%), and 3.6% (18.5%) leading amid tight competition reflecting uncertainty in energy price moderation. March's hotter-than-expected 3.3% print—up sharply from February's 2.4% on a 10.9% energy surge led by gasoline—has anchored sentiment higher, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts hold at 3.56% headline and 2.56% core as of April 30. Sticky shelter costs and persistent services inflation counter potential base effects, with geopolitical risks weighing on oil. Key swing factor: April energy data ahead of the May 12 BLS release, which could tip odds toward or away from 3.8% if gasoline volatility endures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes