Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 66.5% implied probability for the $2.25–2.50 per dozen range for April 2026 national retail Grade A large eggs, anchored by March BLS CPI data showing an average of $2.348—down 6.1% from February—as avian influenza disruptions eased and egg production rebounded 6% year-over-year per USDA reports. Wholesale prices plummeted to $0.22/dozen by late April amid heavy supplies, though Easter demand steadied retail levels temporarily; the $2.00–2.25 bin at 32.5% captures expectations of lagged declines. Absent new bird flu outbreaks, sentiment favors moderation over 2025 peaks, with resolution hinging on mid-May BLS April CPI release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$2.25–2.50 66%
$2.00–2.25 33%
$2.50–2.75 1.7%
$1.75–2.00 1.3%
$32,088 Vol.
$32,088 Vol.
12 may 2026
<$1.75
<1%
$1.75–2.00
1%
$2.00–2.25
33%
$2.25–2.50
66%
$2.50–2.75
2%
$2.75–3.00
1%
$3.00–3.25
<1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
<1%
≥$3.75
<1%
$2.25–2.50 66%
$2.00–2.25 33%
$2.50–2.75 1.7%
$1.75–2.00 1.3%
$32,088 Vol.
$32,088 Vol.
12 may 2026
<$1.75
$2,366 Vol.
<1%
$1.75–2.00
$2,156 Vol.
1%
$2.00–2.25
$7,437 Vol.
33%
$2.25–2.50
$5,216 Vol.
66%
$2.50–2.75
$2,998 Vol.
2%
$2.75–3.00
$2,234 Vol.
1%
$3.00–3.25
$2,748 Vol.
<1%
$3.25–3.50
$2,429 Vol.
<1%
$3.50–3.75
$2,209 Vol.
<1%
≥$3.75
$2,295 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the April data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 66.5% implied probability for the $2.25–2.50 per dozen range for April 2026 national retail Grade A large eggs, anchored by March BLS CPI data showing an average of $2.348—down 6.1% from February—as avian influenza disruptions eased and egg production rebounded 6% year-over-year per USDA reports. Wholesale prices plummeted to $0.22/dozen by late April amid heavy supplies, though Easter demand steadied retail levels temporarily; the $2.00–2.25 bin at 32.5% captures expectations of lagged declines. Absent new bird flu outbreaks, sentiment favors moderation over 2025 peaks, with resolution hinging on mid-May BLS April CPI release.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the April data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Mercado abierto: Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Volumen
$32,088Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the April data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 66.5% implied probability for the $2.25–2.50 per dozen range for April 2026 national retail Grade A large eggs, anchored by March BLS CPI data showing an average of $2.348—down 6.1% from February—as avian influenza disruptions eased and egg production rebounded 6% year-over-year per USDA reports. Wholesale prices plummeted to $0.22/dozen by late April amid heavy supplies, though Easter demand steadied retail levels temporarily; the $2.00–2.25 bin at 32.5% captures expectations of lagged declines. Absent new bird flu outbreaks, sentiment favors moderation over 2025 peaks, with resolution hinging on mid-May BLS April CPI release.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the April data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Volumen
$32,088Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 66.5% implied probability for the $2.25–2.50 per dozen range for April 2026 national retail Grade A large eggs, anchored by March BLS CPI data showing an average of $2.348—down 6.1% from February—as avian influenza disruptions eased and egg production rebounded 6% year-over-year per USDA reports. Wholesale prices plummeted to $0.22/dozen by late April amid heavy supplies, though Easter demand steadied retail levels temporarily; the $2.00–2.25 bin at 32.5% captures expectations of lagged declines. Absent new bird flu outbreaks, sentiment favors moderation over 2025 peaks, with resolution hinging on mid-May BLS April CPI release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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