Banxico’s explicit post-May guidance that holding the 6.50% policy rate steady will likely remain appropriate anchors the 93.3% market-implied probability of no change at the June 25 meeting. The central bank concluded its easing cycle after the May 25-basis-point cut, citing Q1 2026 economic contraction that widened output slack, reduced demand-driven inflation pressures, and allowed headline inflation to ease to 4.45% and core to 4.26% by April. The bank still projects convergence to its 3% target only in Q2 2027 amid geopolitical and trade uncertainties. Recent private-sector surveys reinforce a prolonged pause through year-end. A sharper-than-expected inflation rebound or stronger growth data ahead of the meeting could introduce limited volatility, though such shifts appear unlikely given current conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBank of Mexico Decision in June
Bank of Mexico Decision in June
No change 92.7%
Decrease 6.9%
Increase 1.3%
$17,338 Vol.
$17,338 Vol.
25 jun 2026
Decrease
7%
No change
93%
Increase
1%
No change 92.7%
Decrease 6.9%
Increase 1.3%
$17,338 Vol.
$17,338 Vol.
25 jun 2026
Decrease
$1,722 Vol.
7%
No change
$13,003 Vol.
93%
Increase
$2,613 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Banxico’s explicit post-May guidance that holding the 6.50% policy rate steady will likely remain appropriate anchors the 93.3% market-implied probability of no change at the June 25 meeting. The central bank concluded its easing cycle after the May 25-basis-point cut, citing Q1 2026 economic contraction that widened output slack, reduced demand-driven inflation pressures, and allowed headline inflation to ease to 4.45% and core to 4.26% by April. The bank still projects convergence to its 3% target only in Q2 2027 amid geopolitical and trade uncertainties. Recent private-sector surveys reinforce a prolonged pause through year-end. A sharper-than-expected inflation rebound or stronger growth data ahead of the meeting could introduce limited volatility, though such shifts appear unlikely given current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
Volumen
$17,338Fecha de finalización
25 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Banxico’s explicit post-May guidance that holding the 6.50% policy rate steady will likely remain appropriate anchors the 93.3% market-implied probability of no change at the June 25 meeting. The central bank concluded its easing cycle after the May 25-basis-point cut, citing Q1 2026 economic contraction that widened output slack, reduced demand-driven inflation pressures, and allowed headline inflation to ease to 4.45% and core to 4.26% by April. The bank still projects convergence to its 3% target only in Q2 2027 amid geopolitical and trade uncertainties. Recent private-sector surveys reinforce a prolonged pause through year-end. A sharper-than-expected inflation rebound or stronger growth data ahead of the meeting could introduce limited volatility, though such shifts appear unlikely given current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$17,338Fecha de finalización
25 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Banxico’s explicit post-May guidance that holding the 6.50% policy rate steady will likely remain appropriate anchors the 93.3% market-implied probability of no change at the June 25 meeting. The central bank concluded its easing cycle after the May 25-basis-point cut, citing Q1 2026 economic contraction that widened output slack, reduced demand-driven inflation pressures, and allowed headline inflation to ease to 4.45% and core to 4.26% by April. The bank still projects convergence to its 3% target only in Q2 2027 amid geopolitical and trade uncertainties. Recent private-sector surveys reinforce a prolonged pause through year-end. A sharper-than-expected inflation rebound or stronger growth data ahead of the meeting could introduce limited volatility, though such shifts appear unlikely given current conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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