Polymarket traders price a 77% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June Copom meeting, reflecting the committee's recent 25 basis point cuts—to 14.75% in March and 14.50% on April 29—amid slowing GDP growth to around 1.5-2% for 2026 and rising unemployment to 6.1%. Despite preliminary April IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.4% year-over-year from oil shocks tied to Middle East tensions, deanchored 2026 expectations at 4.9% via the Focus survey, and fiscal risks, Copom views prolonged restrictiveness as fostering convergence to the 3% target by late 2027. Hawkish statement tones signal caution, with May IPCA data key before the mid-June decision.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Brasil en junio?
¿Decisión del Banco de Brasil en junio?
Disminuir 78%
Sin cambios 22.4%
Aumentar <1%
$75,031 Vol.
$75,031 Vol.
16 jun 2026
Aumentar
1%
Sin cambios
22%
Disminuir
78%
Disminuir 78%
Sin cambios 22.4%
Aumentar <1%
$75,031 Vol.
$75,031 Vol.
16 jun 2026
Aumentar
$25,920 Vol.
1%
Sin cambios
$18,549 Vol.
22%
Disminuir
$30,561 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 77% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June Copom meeting, reflecting the committee's recent 25 basis point cuts—to 14.75% in March and 14.50% on April 29—amid slowing GDP growth to around 1.5-2% for 2026 and rising unemployment to 6.1%. Despite preliminary April IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.4% year-over-year from oil shocks tied to Middle East tensions, deanchored 2026 expectations at 4.9% via the Focus survey, and fiscal risks, Copom views prolonged restrictiveness as fostering convergence to the 3% target by late 2027. Hawkish statement tones signal caution, with May IPCA data key before the mid-June decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volumen
$75,031Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 77% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June Copom meeting, reflecting the committee's recent 25 basis point cuts—to 14.75% in March and 14.50% on April 29—amid slowing GDP growth to around 1.5-2% for 2026 and rising unemployment to 6.1%. Despite preliminary April IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.4% year-over-year from oil shocks tied to Middle East tensions, deanchored 2026 expectations at 4.9% via the Focus survey, and fiscal risks, Copom views prolonged restrictiveness as fostering convergence to the 3% target by late 2027. Hawkish statement tones signal caution, with May IPCA data key before the mid-June decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$75,031Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 77% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June Copom meeting, reflecting the committee's recent 25 basis point cuts—to 14.75% in March and 14.50% on April 29—amid slowing GDP growth to around 1.5-2% for 2026 and rising unemployment to 6.1%. Despite preliminary April IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.4% year-over-year from oil shocks tied to Middle East tensions, deanchored 2026 expectations at 4.9% via the Focus survey, and fiscal risks, Copom views prolonged restrictiveness as fostering convergence to the 3% target by late 2027. Hawkish statement tones signal caution, with May IPCA data key before the mid-June decision.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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