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White House predictions & odds

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Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?

Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?

51%

$990 Vol.

$575 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

99%

April 30

$29.1K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

5

Ends in about 1 month

White House # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

White House # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

83%

180-199

$118K Vol.

$51.3K today

$15.8K Liq.

Ends in about 22 hours

White House # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

White House # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

44%

160-179

$47.8K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

31%

Marco Rubio

$14.1K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

White House # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

White House # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

33%

200+

$5.5K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

 Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

54%

$49.6K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 4 - 9)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 4 - 9)

52%

May 7

$0 Vol.

$213 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Will TMZ be granted a White House Press Badge?

Will TMZ be granted a White House Press Badge?

43%

$26 Vol.

$38 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

What will Trump say during bilateral events with King Charles?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with King Charles?

2%

Trump

$503K Vol.

$51.7K today

$13.4K Liq.

60

Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

15%

$169K Vol.

$46.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 2 months

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?

43%

6

$24.2K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

70%

Kash Patel

$1M Vol.

$332K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

1%

April 30

$1M Vol.

$25.6K Liq.

Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?

Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?

1%

$5.5K Vol.

$937 Liq.

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

8%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

79

Ends in 2 months

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

99%

4

$31.8K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

3%

$19.5K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 2 months

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

18%

$151K Vol.

$22.7K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

6%

June 30

$587K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

38

Ends in 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 133 active markets for White House that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump declares election interference national emergency? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 8% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on White House predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.