Trader consensus reflects a 99.3% implied probability on "No" for Condoleezza Rice joining the Trump administration roster by the April 30 deadline, as no official announcement has emerged with hours remaining in the term's second year. March White House visits—advising on Iran strikes post-Operation Epic Fury and a post-NCAA pull-aside with Trump and Chief of Staff Susie Wiles—sparked brief speculation but yielded no offer or confirmation, amid a largely settled cabinet lineup. Rice's prior declinations of high-profile roles, like VP in 2016, and lack of April rumors further bench any upset potential, though a surprise last-second signing before midnight could theoretically shift resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$5,523 Vol.
$5,523 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$5,523 Vol.
$5,523 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 99.3% implied probability on "No" for Condoleezza Rice joining the Trump administration roster by the April 30 deadline, as no official announcement has emerged with hours remaining in the term's second year. March White House visits—advising on Iran strikes post-Operation Epic Fury and a post-NCAA pull-aside with Trump and Chief of Staff Susie Wiles—sparked brief speculation but yielded no offer or confirmation, amid a largely settled cabinet lineup. Rice's prior declinations of high-profile roles, like VP in 2016, and lack of April rumors further bench any upset potential, though a surprise last-second signing before midnight could theoretically shift resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Volume
$5,523End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 99.3% implied probability on "No" for Condoleezza Rice joining the Trump administration roster by the April 30 deadline, as no official announcement has emerged with hours remaining in the term's second year. March White House visits—advising on Iran strikes post-Operation Epic Fury and a post-NCAA pull-aside with Trump and Chief of Staff Susie Wiles—sparked brief speculation but yielded no offer or confirmation, amid a largely settled cabinet lineup. Rice's prior declinations of high-profile roles, like VP in 2016, and lack of April rumors further bench any upset potential, though a surprise last-second signing before midnight could theoretically shift resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,523End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 99.3% implied probability on "No" for Condoleezza Rice joining the Trump administration roster by the April 30 deadline, as no official announcement has emerged with hours remaining in the term's second year. March White House visits—advising on Iran strikes post-Operation Epic Fury and a post-NCAA pull-aside with Trump and Chief of Staff Susie Wiles—sparked brief speculation but yielded no offer or confirmation, amid a largely settled cabinet lineup. Rice's prior declinations of high-profile roles, like VP in 2016, and lack of April rumors further bench any upset potential, though a surprise last-second signing before midnight could theoretically shift resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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