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Lula predictions & odds

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Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

86%

$48.3K Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

7

Ends in 2 months

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

76%

December 31

$13.1K Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

50%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$100M Vol.

$250K today

$8M Liq.

11,485

Ends in 4 months

Who will Trump speak to in June?

Who will Trump speak to in June?

99%

Vladimir Putin

$425K Vol.

$109K today

$266K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Who will Trump meet with in June?

Who will Trump meet with in June?

90%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$105K Vol.

$83.7K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

56%

Petro - Colombia President

$823K Vol.

$277K Liq.

12

Ends in 7 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

14%

Renan Santos

$4M Vol.

$404K Liq.

42

Ends in 4 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

48%

Renan Santos

$323K Vol.

$250K Liq.

47

Ends in 4 months

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

84%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$384K Vol.

$104K Liq.

116

Ends in 4 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

39%

Lula da Silva <5%

$242K Vol.

$99.1K Liq.

14

Ends in 4 months

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

98%

Giorgia Meloni

$541K Vol.

$117K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

89%

PL

$15.6K Vol.

$232K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

44%

Juliana Brizola

$64.4K Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

83%

Tarcísio de Freitas

$76.2K Vol.

$107K Liq.

4

Ends in 4 months

Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner

Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner

56%

Ricardo Ferraço

$514 Vol.

$28.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

81%

PL

$14.4K Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

3

Ends in 4 months

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

45%

Wilson Witzel

$10.4K Vol.

$94.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 4 months

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

73%

PL

$256K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

9

Ends in 4 months

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

23%

$74.8K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

31

Ends in 4 months

Goiás Governor Election Winner

Goiás Governor Election Winner

78%

Daniel Vilela

$741 Vol.

$24.5K Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Lula.

Polymarket currently hosts 115 active markets for Lula that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $106.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Brazil Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Brazil Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 50% chance to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Lula predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.