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Politics·Trump

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

icon for Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
Politics·Trump

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

No meeting by June 30 82.5%

China 4.6%

Russia 2.1%

Other 1.0%

Polymarket

$5,306,740 Vol.

No meeting by June 30 82.5%

China 4.6%

Russia 2.1%

Other 1.0%

Polymarket

$5,306,740 Vol.

icon for No meeting by June 30

No meeting by June 30

$820,819 Vol.

83%

icon for China

China

$316,772 Vol.

5%

icon for Russia

Russia

$661,920 Vol.

2%

icon for Other

Other

$446,265 Vol.

1%

icon for Gulf country

Gulf country

$275,025 Vol.

1%

icon for United States

United States

$239,804 Vol.

1%

icon for Turkey

Turkey

$384,569 Vol.

1%

icon for Belarus

Belarus

$340,188 Vol.

<1%

icon for Other EU country

Other EU country

$964,359 Vol.

<1%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$164,322 Vol.

<1%

icon for Finland

Finland

$107,524 Vol.

<1%

icon for Japan

Japan

$145,175 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$167,649 Vol.

<1%

icon for South Korea

South Korea

$136,988 Vol.

<1%

icon for Australia

Australia

$135,360 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin in-person meeting by June 30 at 83%, driven by the absence of any official announcement despite a recent April 29 phone call where Putin proposed a temporary Ukraine ceasefire around May 9 Victory Day but explicitly did not invite Trump to Moscow's parade. Kremlin adviser Yuri Ushakov confirmed the discussion focused on peace talks without scheduling a summit, amid ongoing Russo-Ukrainian war tensions and Ukraine's skepticism toward U.S. mediation. Low probabilities for China (5%) or Russia (3%) reflect no diplomatic signals or neutral venue coordination, with prior 2025 summits in Alaska and Hungary not repeated soon; upcoming Victory Day and Trump's mid-May China trip offer no confirmed bilateral opportunities.

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,306,740
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin in-person meeting by June 30 at 83%, driven by the absence of any official announcement despite a recent April 29 phone call where Putin proposed a temporary Ukraine ceasefire around May 9 Victory Day but explicitly did not invite Trump to Moscow's parade. Kremlin adviser Yuri Ushakov confirmed the discussion focused on peace talks without scheduling a summit, amid ongoing Russo-Ukrainian war tensions and Ukraine's skepticism toward U.S. mediation. Low probabilities for China (5%) or Russia (3%) reflect no diplomatic signals or neutral venue coordination, with prior 2025 summits in Alaska and Hungary not repeated soon; upcoming Victory Day and Trump's mid-May China trip offer no confirmed bilateral opportunities.

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,306,740
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Where will Trump and Putin meet next?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No meeting by June 30" at 83%, followed by "China" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Where will Trump and Putin meet next?" has generated $5.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Where will Trump and Putin meet next?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Where will Trump and Putin meet next?" is "No meeting by June 30" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "China" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Where will Trump and Putin meet next?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.