Trader consensus favors No at 59.5% implied probability for President Trump donning a yarmulke in 2026, reflecting the absence of any verified public appearances at Jewish religious sites, synagogues, or Israel-related events through late April. No notable developments in the past 30 days—such as diplomatic summits, Western Wall visits akin to his 2017 trip, or holiday observances like Passover—have materialized to boost Yes odds, amid Trump's emphasis on domestic priorities including immigration enforcement and economic policy. While his pro-Israel foreign policy could prompt a late-year shift via potential Middle East negotiations or High Holy Days engagements, traders weigh the crowded presidential calendar as a barrier, pricing uncertainty below 50% for affirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.Trader consensus favors No at 59.5% implied probability for President Trump donning a yarmulke in 2026, reflecting the absence of any verified public appearances at Jewish religious sites, synagogues, or Israel-related events through late April. No notable developments in the past 30 days—such as diplomatic summits, Western Wall visits akin to his 2017 trip, or holiday observances like Passover—have materialized to boost Yes odds, amid Trump's emphasis on domestic priorities including immigration enforcement and economic policy. While his pro-Israel foreign policy could prompt a late-year shift via potential Middle East negotiations or High Holy Days engagements, traders weigh the crowded presidential calendar as a barrier, pricing uncertainty below 50% for affirmation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Market Opened: Feb 10, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
Volume
$8,964End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 10, 2026, 6:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.Trader consensus favors No at 59.5% implied probability for President Trump donning a yarmulke in 2026, reflecting the absence of any verified public appearances at Jewish religious sites, synagogues, or Israel-related events through late April. No notable developments in the past 30 days—such as diplomatic summits, Western Wall visits akin to his 2017 trip, or holiday observances like Passover—have materialized to boost Yes odds, amid Trump's emphasis on domestic priorities including immigration enforcement and economic policy. While his pro-Israel foreign policy could prompt a late-year shift via potential Middle East negotiations or High Holy Days engagements, traders weigh the crowded presidential calendar as a barrier, pricing uncertainty below 50% for affirmation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Volume
$8,964End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 10, 2026, 6:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors No at 59.5% implied probability for President Trump donning a yarmulke in 2026, reflecting the absence of any verified public appearances at Jewish religious sites, synagogues, or Israel-related events through late April. No notable developments in the past 30 days—such as diplomatic summits, Western Wall visits akin to his 2017 trip, or holiday observances like Passover—have materialized to boost Yes odds, amid Trump's emphasis on domestic priorities including immigration enforcement and economic policy. While his pro-Israel foreign policy could prompt a late-year shift via potential Middle East negotiations or High Holy Days engagements, traders weigh the crowded presidential calendar as a barrier, pricing uncertainty below 50% for affirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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