**Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress remain the dominant barrier to impeachment proceedings against President Trump through the end of 2026.** House Republicans hold a narrow edge, and no significant bipartisan support has emerged for articles of impeachment despite Democratic resolutions introduced in late 2025 and renewed calls in April 2026 tied to the Iran conflict. Those efforts were tabled or advanced only symbolically by minority members. Senate conviction requires a two-thirds supermajority, a threshold unreachable under current or projected partisan alignments even after the November 2026 midterms. Historical patterns show impeachment efforts against presidents of the same party as the House majority rarely advance beyond introduction. Recent Democratic polling support and public statements have not translated into legislative momentum, as party leaders prioritize other priorities ahead of the midterms. Traders price the low probability accordingly, reflecting the structural requirements for House passage followed by Senate removal within the remaining timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$872,178 Vol.
$872,178 Vol.
$872,178 Vol.
$872,178 Vol.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
**Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress remain the dominant barrier to impeachment proceedings against President Trump through the end of 2026.** House Republicans hold a narrow edge, and no significant bipartisan support has emerged for articles of impeachment despite Democratic resolutions introduced in late 2025 and renewed calls in April 2026 tied to the Iran conflict. Those efforts were tabled or advanced only symbolically by minority members. Senate conviction requires a two-thirds supermajority, a threshold unreachable under current or projected partisan alignments even after the November 2026 midterms. Historical patterns show impeachment efforts against presidents of the same party as the House majority rarely advance beyond introduction. Recent Democratic polling support and public statements have not translated into legislative momentum, as party leaders prioritize other priorities ahead of the midterms. Traders price the low probability accordingly, reflecting the structural requirements for House passage followed by Senate removal within the remaining timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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