Trump’s February 2026 executive directive launched an unprecedented rolling declassification effort through the Pentagon’s PURSUE program, producing three public tranches of UAP files and videos since May 8—including the June 12 release of 72 additional documents detailing historical orb, disc, and fireball sightings. This steady cadence, driven by congressional advocates and sustained public demand, has already delivered hundreds of records without major new extraterrestrial claims, shaping trader expectations around continued incremental releases rather than a single dramatic dump. Upcoming tranches every few weeks and any fresh White House signals on timelines remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$22,198 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 15
1%
June 22
19%
June 30
56%
$22,198 Vol.
June 15
$19,332 Vol.
1%
June 22
$2,823 Vol.
19%
June 30
$48 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s February 2026 executive directive launched an unprecedented rolling declassification effort through the Pentagon’s PURSUE program, producing three public tranches of UAP files and videos since May 8—including the June 12 release of 72 additional documents detailing historical orb, disc, and fireball sightings. This steady cadence, driven by congressional advocates and sustained public demand, has already delivered hundreds of records without major new extraterrestrial claims, shaping trader expectations around continued incremental releases rather than a single dramatic dump. Upcoming tranches every few weeks and any fresh White House signals on timelines remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$22,198End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s February 2026 executive directive launched an unprecedented rolling declassification effort through the Pentagon’s PURSUE program, producing three public tranches of UAP files and videos since May 8—including the June 12 release of 72 additional documents detailing historical orb, disc, and fireball sightings. This steady cadence, driven by congressional advocates and sustained public demand, has already delivered hundreds of records without major new extraterrestrial claims, shaping trader expectations around continued incremental releases rather than a single dramatic dump. Upcoming tranches every few weeks and any fresh White House signals on timelines remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$22,198End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s February 2026 executive directive launched an unprecedented rolling declassification effort through the Pentagon’s PURSUE program, producing three public tranches of UAP files and videos since May 8—including the June 12 release of 72 additional documents detailing historical orb, disc, and fireball sightings. This steady cadence, driven by congressional advocates and sustained public demand, has already delivered hundreds of records without major new extraterrestrial claims, shaping trader expectations around continued incremental releases rather than a single dramatic dump. Upcoming tranches every few weeks and any fresh White House signals on timelines remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions