President Trump's ongoing summit with China's Xi Jinping in Beijing through May 15 underscores trader focus on trade and tech rhetoric, elevating implied probabilities for verbal mentions of "rare earth/mineral" (71%), "NVIDIA" (59%), "Boeing" (75%), and "North Korea" (63%) amid negotiations over minerals, chips, and defense amid U.S.-China tensions. His return aligns with the National Day of Prayer on May 17 at the National Mall, a rededication event invoking America's founding faith, where "Make America Great Again" carries 52% odds based on historical rally patterns. Stalled Iran ceasefire talks after rejecting Tehran's counterproposal keep "regime change" at 54%, with the market resolving on recorded public statements through May 17 evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$75,679 Vol.
May 17, 2026
Make America Great Again
52%
Blackwell
46%
NVIDIA
80%
Shipbuilding
39%
Silicon Valley
37%
Wind
27%
Rare earth / Mineral
56%
Boeing
75%
Regime change
49%
Magnet
44%
North Korea
59%
Midterm Election
28%
Traitor
36%
Uncle / Unc
13%
Hantavirus
41%
$75,679 Vol.
Make America Great Again
$23,684 Vol.
52%
Blackwell
$247 Vol.
46%
NVIDIA
$501 Vol.
80%
Shipbuilding
$76 Vol.
39%
Silicon Valley
$107 Vol.
37%
Wind
$1,238 Vol.
27%
Rare earth / Mineral
$105 Vol.
56%
Boeing
$317 Vol.
75%
Regime change
$188 Vol.
49%
Magnet
$30 Vol.
44%
North Korea
$194 Vol.
59%
Midterm Election
$204 Vol.
28%
Traitor
$234 Vol.
36%
Uncle / Unc
$159 Vol.
13%
Hantavirus
$2,749 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's ongoing summit with China's Xi Jinping in Beijing through May 15 underscores trader focus on trade and tech rhetoric, elevating implied probabilities for verbal mentions of "rare earth/mineral" (71%), "NVIDIA" (59%), "Boeing" (75%), and "North Korea" (63%) amid negotiations over minerals, chips, and defense amid U.S.-China tensions. His return aligns with the National Day of Prayer on May 17 at the National Mall, a rededication event invoking America's founding faith, where "Make America Great Again" carries 52% odds based on historical rally patterns. Stalled Iran ceasefire talks after rejecting Tehran's counterproposal keep "regime change" at 54%, with the market resolving on recorded public statements through May 17 evening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: May 9, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$75,679End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's ongoing summit with China's Xi Jinping in Beijing through May 15 underscores trader focus on trade and tech rhetoric, elevating implied probabilities for verbal mentions of "rare earth/mineral" (71%), "NVIDIA" (59%), "Boeing" (75%), and "North Korea" (63%) amid negotiations over minerals, chips, and defense amid U.S.-China tensions. His return aligns with the National Day of Prayer on May 17 at the National Mall, a rededication event invoking America's founding faith, where "Make America Great Again" carries 52% odds based on historical rally patterns. Stalled Iran ceasefire talks after rejecting Tehran's counterproposal keep "regime change" at 54%, with the market resolving on recorded public statements through May 17 evening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$75,679End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's ongoing summit with China's Xi Jinping in Beijing through May 15 underscores trader focus on trade and tech rhetoric, elevating implied probabilities for verbal mentions of "rare earth/mineral" (71%), "NVIDIA" (59%), "Boeing" (75%), and "North Korea" (63%) amid negotiations over minerals, chips, and defense amid U.S.-China tensions. His return aligns with the National Day of Prayer on May 17 at the National Mall, a rededication event invoking America's founding faith, where "Make America Great Again" carries 52% odds based on historical rally patterns. Stalled Iran ceasefire talks after rejecting Tehran's counterproposal keep "regime change" at 54%, with the market resolving on recorded public statements through May 17 evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions