President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for a high-stakes state visit and bilateral summit with Xi Jinping has anchored trader consensus at 96.5% against an insult this week, reflecting diplomatic protocol that prioritizes negotiations on trade tariffs, the Iran war, U.S. arms sales to Taiwan, and issues like jailed dissident Jimmy Lai. Trump downplayed tensions en route, echoing past in-person praise for Xi despite prior rhetorical friction, with no public barbs, social media posts, or press criticisms reported amid the formal welcome—despite Xi sending Vice President Han Zheng to the airport. Realistic shifts could stem from stalled talks, a contentious joint statement, or post-summit Truth Social remarks before week's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Trump Insult Xi this week?
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
$61,383 Vol.
$61,383 Vol.
May 22, 2026
$61,383 Vol.
$61,383 Vol.
May 22, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for a high-stakes state visit and bilateral summit with Xi Jinping has anchored trader consensus at 96.5% against an insult this week, reflecting diplomatic protocol that prioritizes negotiations on trade tariffs, the Iran war, U.S. arms sales to Taiwan, and issues like jailed dissident Jimmy Lai. Trump downplayed tensions en route, echoing past in-person praise for Xi despite prior rhetorical friction, with no public barbs, social media posts, or press criticisms reported amid the formal welcome—despite Xi sending Vice President Han Zheng to the airport. Realistic shifts could stem from stalled talks, a contentious joint statement, or post-summit Truth Social remarks before week's end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Volume
$61,383End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for a high-stakes state visit and bilateral summit with Xi Jinping has anchored trader consensus at 96.5% against an insult this week, reflecting diplomatic protocol that prioritizes negotiations on trade tariffs, the Iran war, U.S. arms sales to Taiwan, and issues like jailed dissident Jimmy Lai. Trump downplayed tensions en route, echoing past in-person praise for Xi despite prior rhetorical friction, with no public barbs, social media posts, or press criticisms reported amid the formal welcome—despite Xi sending Vice President Han Zheng to the airport. Realistic shifts could stem from stalled talks, a contentious joint statement, or post-summit Truth Social remarks before week's end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$61,383End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for a high-stakes state visit and bilateral summit with Xi Jinping has anchored trader consensus at 96.5% against an insult this week, reflecting diplomatic protocol that prioritizes negotiations on trade tariffs, the Iran war, U.S. arms sales to Taiwan, and issues like jailed dissident Jimmy Lai. Trump downplayed tensions en route, echoing past in-person praise for Xi despite prior rhetorical friction, with no public barbs, social media posts, or press criticisms reported amid the formal welcome—despite Xi sending Vice President Han Zheng to the airport. Realistic shifts could stem from stalled talks, a contentious joint statement, or post-summit Truth Social remarks before week's end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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