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Politics·China

Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?

icon for Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?
Politics·China

Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?

$235,595 Vol.

May 17, 2026
Polymarket

$235,595 Vol.

Polymarket

Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company

$7,087 Vol.

100%

Elon Musk

$30,368 Vol.

100%

Marco Rubio

$18,823 Vol.

99%

Tim Cook

$21,544 Vol.

96%

Scott Bessent

$3,491 Vol.

96%

Any of Trump’s sons

$9,182 Vol.

93%

Steve Witkoff

$11,428 Vol.

14%

Jared Kushner

$29,781 Vol.

11%

Mark Zuckerberg

$12,100 Vol.

1%

Melania Trump

$29,085 Vol.

1%

J.D. Vance

$63,544 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No". The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, with a large U.S. delegation including CEOs Elon Musk of Tesla, Tim Cook of Apple, Larry Fink of BlackRock, and executives from Nvidia, Boeing, and other sectors, fueling trader consensus toward near-certainty on their attendance at the May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping. White House confirmations of this business-heavy group—aimed at advancing trade deals, agriculture purchases, and tech cooperation—have spiked yes prices above 98% for these figures and "Any CEO of a publicly-listed U.S. company," reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on physical presence at bilateral meetings or state events with Chinese officials. High odds for Secretary of State Marco Rubio stem from diplomatic protocol, while lower probabilities for family like Melania Trump or Jared Kushner indicate unconfirmed roles; resolution awaits Trump's China departure amid Iran and Taiwan discussions.

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present.

If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No".

The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$235,595
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 8:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No". The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No". The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, with a large U.S. delegation including CEOs Elon Musk of Tesla, Tim Cook of Apple, Larry Fink of BlackRock, and executives from Nvidia, Boeing, and other sectors, fueling trader consensus toward near-certainty on their attendance at the May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping. White House confirmations of this business-heavy group—aimed at advancing trade deals, agriculture purchases, and tech cooperation—have spiked yes prices above 98% for these figures and "Any CEO of a publicly-listed U.S. company," reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on physical presence at bilateral meetings or state events with Chinese officials. High odds for Secretary of State Marco Rubio stem from diplomatic protocol, while lower probabilities for family like Melania Trump or Jared Kushner indicate unconfirmed roles; resolution awaits Trump's China departure amid Iran and Taiwan discussions.

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present.

If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No".

The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$235,595
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 8:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No". The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company" at 100%, followed by "Elon Musk" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?" has generated $235.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?" is "Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elon Musk" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.