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Politics·Primaries

Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Charity Clark 11%

Mike Pieciak 9%

Esther Charlestin 2.5%

Polymarket

$64,499 Vol.

Charity Clark 11%

Mike Pieciak 9%

Esther Charlestin 2.5%

Polymarket

$64,499 Vol.

Charity Clark

$51,110 Vol.

11%

Mike Pieciak

$4,944 Vol.

9%

Esther Charlestin

$8,445 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus reflects a fragmented Vermont Democratic gubernatorial primary field ahead of the May 28 filing deadline and August 11 primary, with Attorney General Charity Clark's 11% implied probability leading due to her high name recognition from recent high-profile lawsuits on gender-affirming care and mail restrictions, alongside a prior poll showing her tied with Treasurer Mike Pieciak as preferred challenger to popular incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott. Pieciak trails at 8.5% on his fiscal management record during COVID-19, while Esther Charlestin's 2.5% lags as she pursues the lieutenant governor nomination after winning the 2024 primary. Recent entries by Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards have not consolidated support, leaving the race fluid; endorsements, fundraising, and late statewide officeholder declarations could tip momentum among key voting blocs like progressives and moderates.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$64,499
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus reflects a fragmented Vermont Democratic gubernatorial primary field ahead of the May 28 filing deadline and August 11 primary, with Attorney General Charity Clark's 11% implied probability leading due to her high name recognition from recent high-profile lawsuits on gender-affirming care and mail restrictions, alongside a prior poll showing her tied with Treasurer Mike Pieciak as preferred challenger to popular incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott. Pieciak trails at 8.5% on his fiscal management record during COVID-19, while Esther Charlestin's 2.5% lags as she pursues the lieutenant governor nomination after winning the 2024 primary. Recent entries by Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards have not consolidated support, leaving the race fluid; endorsements, fundraising, and late statewide officeholder declarations could tip momentum among key voting blocs like progressives and moderates.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$64,499
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Charity Clark" at 11%, followed by "Mike Pieciak" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $64.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Charity Clark" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mike Pieciak" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.