US special operations forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, during Operation Absolute Resolve, conducting airstrikes and a ground assault on Caracas to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narcoterrorism charges before rapid extraction. The Pentagon confirmed no ongoing troop presence inside Venezuela afterward, shifting to regional naval deployments enforcing oil quarantines and anti-drug strikes amid eased sanctions and a March 30 embassy reopening in Caracas. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez's 90-day term expired April 6 without snap elections, heightening instability risks as opposition leader María Corina Machado pushes for democratic transition and US firms eye privatized oil reserves. Recent April 28 reports of Caribbean military buildup echo pre-intervention patterns, while unconfirmed April 22 claims of US military advisors with diplomats signal potential re-engagement if regime fractures deepen.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,283,201 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
June 30
12%
$1,283,201 Vol.
June 30
$198,438 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special operations forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, during Operation Absolute Resolve, conducting airstrikes and a ground assault on Caracas to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narcoterrorism charges before rapid extraction. The Pentagon confirmed no ongoing troop presence inside Venezuela afterward, shifting to regional naval deployments enforcing oil quarantines and anti-drug strikes amid eased sanctions and a March 30 embassy reopening in Caracas. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez's 90-day term expired April 6 without snap elections, heightening instability risks as opposition leader María Corina Machado pushes for democratic transition and US firms eye privatized oil reserves. Recent April 28 reports of Caribbean military buildup echo pre-intervention patterns, while unconfirmed April 22 claims of US military advisors with diplomats signal potential re-engagement if regime fractures deepen.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,283,201End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special operations forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, during Operation Absolute Resolve, conducting airstrikes and a ground assault on Caracas to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narcoterrorism charges before rapid extraction. The Pentagon confirmed no ongoing troop presence inside Venezuela afterward, shifting to regional naval deployments enforcing oil quarantines and anti-drug strikes amid eased sanctions and a March 30 embassy reopening in Caracas. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez's 90-day term expired April 6 without snap elections, heightening instability risks as opposition leader María Corina Machado pushes for democratic transition and US firms eye privatized oil reserves. Recent April 28 reports of Caribbean military buildup echo pre-intervention patterns, while unconfirmed April 22 claims of US military advisors with diplomats signal potential re-engagement if regime fractures deepen.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,283,201End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special operations forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, during Operation Absolute Resolve, conducting airstrikes and a ground assault on Caracas to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narcoterrorism charges before rapid extraction. The Pentagon confirmed no ongoing troop presence inside Venezuela afterward, shifting to regional naval deployments enforcing oil quarantines and anti-drug strikes amid eased sanctions and a March 30 embassy reopening in Caracas. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez's 90-day term expired April 6 without snap elections, heightening instability risks as opposition leader María Corina Machado pushes for democratic transition and US firms eye privatized oil reserves. Recent April 28 reports of Caribbean military buildup echo pre-intervention patterns, while unconfirmed April 22 claims of US military advisors with diplomats signal potential re-engagement if regime fractures deepen.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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