**US military intervention in Venezuela reached a decisive point with Operation Absolute Resolve on January 3, 2026, when US special operations forces, supported by air and naval assets, conducted strikes and captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas for US prosecution on narco-terrorism charges.** This followed months of US naval buildup in the Caribbean, lethal strikes on suspected drug vessels, and escalating pressure under the Trump administration. Maduro’s ouster led to Delcy Rodríguez assuming the acting presidency, prisoner releases, partial sanctions relief on oil, and Venezuelan commitments on energy cooperation. As of mid-June 2026, trader focus on any subsequent US force entry centers on ongoing counter-narcotics operations, potential follow-on actions against remaining networks like Tren de Aragua, regional stability risks, and congressional oversight debates under the War Powers framework. Recent statements on joint efforts against gang leaders highlight continued bilateral security dynamics without confirmed large-scale re-entry.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,316,491 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
June 30
5%
$1,316,491 Vol.
June 30
$231,728 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**US military intervention in Venezuela reached a decisive point with Operation Absolute Resolve on January 3, 2026, when US special operations forces, supported by air and naval assets, conducted strikes and captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas for US prosecution on narco-terrorism charges.**
This followed months of US naval buildup in the Caribbean, lethal strikes on suspected drug vessels, and escalating pressure under the Trump administration. Maduro’s ouster led to Delcy Rodríguez assuming the acting presidency, prisoner releases, partial sanctions relief on oil, and Venezuelan commitments on energy cooperation. As of mid-June 2026, trader focus on any subsequent US force entry centers on ongoing counter-narcotics operations, potential follow-on actions against remaining networks like Tren de Aragua, regional stability risks, and congressional oversight debates under the War Powers framework. Recent statements on joint efforts against gang leaders highlight continued bilateral security dynamics without confirmed large-scale re-entry.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,316,491End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**US military intervention in Venezuela reached a decisive point with Operation Absolute Resolve on January 3, 2026, when US special operations forces, supported by air and naval assets, conducted strikes and captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas for US prosecution on narco-terrorism charges.**
This followed months of US naval buildup in the Caribbean, lethal strikes on suspected drug vessels, and escalating pressure under the Trump administration. Maduro’s ouster led to Delcy Rodríguez assuming the acting presidency, prisoner releases, partial sanctions relief on oil, and Venezuelan commitments on energy cooperation. As of mid-June 2026, trader focus on any subsequent US force entry centers on ongoing counter-narcotics operations, potential follow-on actions against remaining networks like Tren de Aragua, regional stability risks, and congressional oversight debates under the War Powers framework. Recent statements on joint efforts against gang leaders highlight continued bilateral security dynamics without confirmed large-scale re-entry.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,316,491End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**US military intervention in Venezuela reached a decisive point with Operation Absolute Resolve on January 3, 2026, when US special operations forces, supported by air and naval assets, conducted strikes and captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas for US prosecution on narco-terrorism charges.** This followed months of US naval buildup in the Caribbean, lethal strikes on suspected drug vessels, and escalating pressure under the Trump administration. Maduro’s ouster led to Delcy Rodríguez assuming the acting presidency, prisoner releases, partial sanctions relief on oil, and Venezuelan commitments on energy cooperation. As of mid-June 2026, trader focus on any subsequent US force entry centers on ongoing counter-narcotics operations, potential follow-on actions against remaining networks like Tren de Aragua, regional stability risks, and congressional oversight debates under the War Powers framework. Recent statements on joint efforts against gang leaders highlight continued bilateral security dynamics without confirmed large-scale re-entry.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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