US forces conducted a brief special operations raid on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife during Operation Absolute Resolve before withdrawing, with no sustained ground presence or follow-on entries reported since. The action followed months of naval deployments, maritime strikes on alleged drug vessels, sanctions escalation, and a CIA-linked drone strike, framed by the Trump administration as targeting narco-terrorism networks. Venezuela installed Delcy Rodríguez as interim president, released political prisoners, and pursued oil-sector negotiations, while the US signaled temporary oversight of energy assets pending a transition. Ongoing factors include regional diplomatic reactions, unresolved legal challenges to the operation under US and international law, and Venezuela’s internal security posture, with no scheduled military exercises, summits, or policy deadlines in the immediate term that would alter the low probability of renewed US force deployment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,316,491 Vol.
31 ene 2026
30 de junio
6%
$1,316,491 Vol.
30 de junio
$231,728 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a brief special operations raid on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife during Operation Absolute Resolve before withdrawing, with no sustained ground presence or follow-on entries reported since. The action followed months of naval deployments, maritime strikes on alleged drug vessels, sanctions escalation, and a CIA-linked drone strike, framed by the Trump administration as targeting narco-terrorism networks. Venezuela installed Delcy Rodríguez as interim president, released political prisoners, and pursued oil-sector negotiations, while the US signaled temporary oversight of energy assets pending a transition. Ongoing factors include regional diplomatic reactions, unresolved legal challenges to the operation under US and international law, and Venezuela’s internal security posture, with no scheduled military exercises, summits, or policy deadlines in the immediate term that would alter the low probability of renewed US force deployment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volumen
$1,316,491Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a brief special operations raid on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife during Operation Absolute Resolve before withdrawing, with no sustained ground presence or follow-on entries reported since. The action followed months of naval deployments, maritime strikes on alleged drug vessels, sanctions escalation, and a CIA-linked drone strike, framed by the Trump administration as targeting narco-terrorism networks. Venezuela installed Delcy Rodríguez as interim president, released political prisoners, and pursued oil-sector negotiations, while the US signaled temporary oversight of energy assets pending a transition. Ongoing factors include regional diplomatic reactions, unresolved legal challenges to the operation under US and international law, and Venezuela’s internal security posture, with no scheduled military exercises, summits, or policy deadlines in the immediate term that would alter the low probability of renewed US force deployment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,316,491Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US forces conducted a brief special operations raid on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife during Operation Absolute Resolve before withdrawing, with no sustained ground presence or follow-on entries reported since. The action followed months of naval deployments, maritime strikes on alleged drug vessels, sanctions escalation, and a CIA-linked drone strike, framed by the Trump administration as targeting narco-terrorism networks. Venezuela installed Delcy Rodríguez as interim president, released political prisoners, and pursued oil-sector negotiations, while the US signaled temporary oversight of energy assets pending a transition. Ongoing factors include regional diplomatic reactions, unresolved legal challenges to the operation under US and international law, and Venezuela’s internal security posture, with no scheduled military exercises, summits, or policy deadlines in the immediate term that would alter the low probability of renewed US force deployment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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