US military forces conducted a targeted operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife during strikes on infrastructure around Caracas under Operation Absolute Resolve, after months of naval buildup and counter-narcotics actions. Since then, interim President Delcy Rodríguez has led the government, diplomatic relations with the US have been restored, and US Southern Command has maintained regional naval and air presence focused on drug interdiction, including recent strikes on alleged trafficking vessels and a June 2026 operation against a Tren de Aragua leader inside Venezuela. A May 2026 US military drill involving aircraft and vessels near Caracas occurred with Venezuelan authorization amid ongoing stabilization efforts. Trader assessments of another entry by specific dates hinge on whether counter-narcotics pressure, gang enforcement, or transition disputes escalate into new deployments before normalization solidifies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,316,491 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
June 30
6%
$1,316,491 Vol.
June 30
$231,728 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military forces conducted a targeted operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife during strikes on infrastructure around Caracas under Operation Absolute Resolve, after months of naval buildup and counter-narcotics actions. Since then, interim President Delcy Rodríguez has led the government, diplomatic relations with the US have been restored, and US Southern Command has maintained regional naval and air presence focused on drug interdiction, including recent strikes on alleged trafficking vessels and a June 2026 operation against a Tren de Aragua leader inside Venezuela. A May 2026 US military drill involving aircraft and vessels near Caracas occurred with Venezuelan authorization amid ongoing stabilization efforts. Trader assessments of another entry by specific dates hinge on whether counter-narcotics pressure, gang enforcement, or transition disputes escalate into new deployments before normalization solidifies.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,316,491End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military forces conducted a targeted operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife during strikes on infrastructure around Caracas under Operation Absolute Resolve, after months of naval buildup and counter-narcotics actions. Since then, interim President Delcy Rodríguez has led the government, diplomatic relations with the US have been restored, and US Southern Command has maintained regional naval and air presence focused on drug interdiction, including recent strikes on alleged trafficking vessels and a June 2026 operation against a Tren de Aragua leader inside Venezuela. A May 2026 US military drill involving aircraft and vessels near Caracas occurred with Venezuelan authorization amid ongoing stabilization efforts. Trader assessments of another entry by specific dates hinge on whether counter-narcotics pressure, gang enforcement, or transition disputes escalate into new deployments before normalization solidifies.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,316,491End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military forces conducted a targeted operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife during strikes on infrastructure around Caracas under Operation Absolute Resolve, after months of naval buildup and counter-narcotics actions. Since then, interim President Delcy Rodríguez has led the government, diplomatic relations with the US have been restored, and US Southern Command has maintained regional naval and air presence focused on drug interdiction, including recent strikes on alleged trafficking vessels and a June 2026 operation against a Tren de Aragua leader inside Venezuela. A May 2026 US military drill involving aircraft and vessels near Caracas occurred with Venezuelan authorization amid ongoing stabilization efforts. Trader assessments of another entry by specific dates hinge on whether counter-narcotics pressure, gang enforcement, or transition disputes escalate into new deployments before normalization solidifies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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