US military forces conducted a targeted raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Operation Absolute Resolve, which involved airstrikes on air defenses and special operations troops from Delta Force and supporting units. This followed months of naval buildup in the Caribbean, strikes on alleged drug vessels, and sanctions escalation under the Trump administration. Since the operation, interim President Delcy Rodríguez has assumed power, coordinated on issues such as prisoner releases and oil arrangements, and the US has signaled continued leverage through regional military presence without reporting new ground entries. Trader assessments of any renewed entry by mid-2026 deadlines reflect ongoing diplomatic engagement, Venezuelan security cooperation, and absence of fresh escalation triggers, balanced against potential shifts from narcotics enforcement priorities or regime stability concerns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,316,491 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
June 30
5%
$1,316,491 Vol.
June 30
$231,728 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military forces conducted a targeted raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Operation Absolute Resolve, which involved airstrikes on air defenses and special operations troops from Delta Force and supporting units. This followed months of naval buildup in the Caribbean, strikes on alleged drug vessels, and sanctions escalation under the Trump administration. Since the operation, interim President Delcy Rodríguez has assumed power, coordinated on issues such as prisoner releases and oil arrangements, and the US has signaled continued leverage through regional military presence without reporting new ground entries. Trader assessments of any renewed entry by mid-2026 deadlines reflect ongoing diplomatic engagement, Venezuelan security cooperation, and absence of fresh escalation triggers, balanced against potential shifts from narcotics enforcement priorities or regime stability concerns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,316,491End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military forces conducted a targeted raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Operation Absolute Resolve, which involved airstrikes on air defenses and special operations troops from Delta Force and supporting units. This followed months of naval buildup in the Caribbean, strikes on alleged drug vessels, and sanctions escalation under the Trump administration. Since the operation, interim President Delcy Rodríguez has assumed power, coordinated on issues such as prisoner releases and oil arrangements, and the US has signaled continued leverage through regional military presence without reporting new ground entries. Trader assessments of any renewed entry by mid-2026 deadlines reflect ongoing diplomatic engagement, Venezuelan security cooperation, and absence of fresh escalation triggers, balanced against potential shifts from narcotics enforcement priorities or regime stability concerns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,316,491End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military forces conducted a targeted raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Operation Absolute Resolve, which involved airstrikes on air defenses and special operations troops from Delta Force and supporting units. This followed months of naval buildup in the Caribbean, strikes on alleged drug vessels, and sanctions escalation under the Trump administration. Since the operation, interim President Delcy Rodríguez has assumed power, coordinated on issues such as prisoner releases and oil arrangements, and the US has signaled continued leverage through regional military presence without reporting new ground entries. Trader assessments of any renewed entry by mid-2026 deadlines reflect ongoing diplomatic engagement, Venezuelan security cooperation, and absence of fresh escalation triggers, balanced against potential shifts from narcotics enforcement priorities or regime stability concerns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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