A shooting incident at the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner on April 25 disrupted President Trump's public schedule, dominating trader focus for the "Trump Today: April 25" market tracking his potential dance, executive order signature, red tie attire, verbal mentions of specific terms, and meetings with listed individuals. The assailant, Cole Tomas Allen from California, fired shots before Secret Service subdued him, evacuating Trump, First Lady Melania, and Vice President JD Vance unharmed—one agent suffered minor injury. Trump delivered earlier remarks and gaggled with press from Palm Beach. Markets remain in review pending consensus of credible reporting; suspect arraignment and White House security protocol meetings this week loom as key follow-ups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$7,557,774 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
Trump dances
Yes
Trump signs an executive order
No
Trump wears a red tie
No
Trump says "Sleepy Joe"
No
Trump talks to Xi Jinping
No
$7,557,774 Vol.
Trump dances
$7,532,933 Vol.
Yes
Trump signs an executive order
$5,843 Vol.
No
Trump wears a red tie
$5,138 Vol.
No
Trump says "Sleepy Joe"
$6,011 Vol.
No
Trump talks to Xi Jinping
$7,849 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.
This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.
If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.
In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wears a red tie at any point on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg
The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "No". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg
If Donald Trump does not wear a tie or if no photos or video are released from the listed date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A shooting incident at the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner on April 25 disrupted President Trump's public schedule, dominating trader focus for the "Trump Today: April 25" market tracking his potential dance, executive order signature, red tie attire, verbal mentions of specific terms, and meetings with listed individuals. The assailant, Cole Tomas Allen from California, fired shots before Secret Service subdued him, evacuating Trump, First Lady Melania, and Vice President JD Vance unharmed—one agent suffered minor injury. Trump delivered earlier remarks and gaggled with press from Palm Beach. Markets remain in review pending consensus of credible reporting; suspect arraignment and White House security protocol meetings this week loom as key follow-ups.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Volume
$7,557,774End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.
This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.
If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.
In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wears a red tie at any point on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg
The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "No". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg
If Donald Trump does not wear a tie or if no photos or video are released from the listed date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A shooting incident at the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner on April 25 disrupted President Trump's public schedule, dominating trader focus for the "Trump Today: April 25" market tracking his potential dance, executive order signature, red tie attire, verbal mentions of specific terms, and meetings with listed individuals. The assailant, Cole Tomas Allen from California, fired shots before Secret Service subdued him, evacuating Trump, First Lady Melania, and Vice President JD Vance unharmed—one agent suffered minor injury. Trump delivered earlier remarks and gaggled with press from Palm Beach. Markets remain in review pending consensus of credible reporting; suspect arraignment and White House security protocol meetings this week loom as key follow-ups.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.
Volume
$7,557,774End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Final outcome: Yes
A shooting incident at the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner on April 25 disrupted President Trump's public schedule, dominating trader focus for the "Trump Today: April 25" market tracking his potential dance, executive order signature, red tie attire, verbal mentions of specific terms, and meetings with listed individuals. The assailant, Cole Tomas Allen from California, fired shots before Secret Service subdued him, evacuating Trump, First Lady Melania, and Vice President JD Vance unharmed—one agent suffered minor injury. Trump delivered earlier remarks and gaggled with press from Palm Beach. Markets remain in review pending consensus of credible reporting; suspect arraignment and White House security protocol meetings this week loom as key follow-ups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions