Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the upper 30s amid sustained voter concerns over economic conditions, including elevated gas prices and cost-of-living pressures, alongside the ongoing conflict with Iran. Multiple surveys from late May into early June, including those from the New York Times/Siena and Reuters/Ipsos, show figures clustered between 37 and 41 percent, with erosion among some Republican respondents. These readings have remained range-bound without significant upward movement, aligning with the market's concentration on the 38.5–39.4 band as the implied consensus for the June 5 snapshot. Midterm-cycle dynamics and economic sentiment continue to anchor probabilities near these levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.5–38.9 57%
39.0–39.4 33.5%
38.0–38.4 7%
<37.5 <1%
NEW
NEW
Jun 5, 2026
<37.5
<1%
37.5–37.9
<1%
38.0–38.4
7%
38.5–38.9
53%
39.0–39.4
34%
39.5+
<1%
38.5–38.9 57%
39.0–39.4 33.5%
38.0–38.4 7%
<37.5 <1%
NEW
NEW
Jun 5, 2026
<37.5
$750 Vol.
<1%
37.5–37.9
$972 Vol.
<1%
38.0–38.4
$1,565 Vol.
7%
38.5–38.9
$1,637 Vol.
53%
39.0–39.4
$1,253 Vol.
34%
39.5+
$699 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 5, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the upper 30s amid sustained voter concerns over economic conditions, including elevated gas prices and cost-of-living pressures, alongside the ongoing conflict with Iran. Multiple surveys from late May into early June, including those from the New York Times/Siena and Reuters/Ipsos, show figures clustered between 37 and 41 percent, with erosion among some Republican respondents. These readings have remained range-bound without significant upward movement, aligning with the market's concentration on the 38.5–39.4 band as the implied consensus for the June 5 snapshot. Midterm-cycle dynamics and economic sentiment continue to anchor probabilities near these levels.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 5, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$6,876End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 5, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the upper 30s amid sustained voter concerns over economic conditions, including elevated gas prices and cost-of-living pressures, alongside the ongoing conflict with Iran. Multiple surveys from late May into early June, including those from the New York Times/Siena and Reuters/Ipsos, show figures clustered between 37 and 41 percent, with erosion among some Republican respondents. These readings have remained range-bound without significant upward movement, aligning with the market's concentration on the 38.5–39.4 band as the implied consensus for the June 5 snapshot. Midterm-cycle dynamics and economic sentiment continue to anchor probabilities near these levels.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 5, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$6,876End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the upper 30s amid sustained voter concerns over economic conditions, including elevated gas prices and cost-of-living pressures, alongside the ongoing conflict with Iran. Multiple surveys from late May into early June, including those from the New York Times/Siena and Reuters/Ipsos, show figures clustered between 37 and 41 percent, with erosion among some Republican respondents. These readings have remained range-bound without significant upward movement, aligning with the market's concentration on the 38.5–39.4 band as the implied consensus for the June 5 snapshot. Midterm-cycle dynamics and economic sentiment continue to anchor probabilities near these levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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