Trump’s established high-volume activity on Truth Social underpins the current trader consensus favoring 200+ posts for the June 2–9 window. Recent analyses show he averaged 19 posts per day through May 2026 and reached a record 861 posts that month alone, equating to roughly 27 daily. Early June has featured continued bursts, including dozens of posts and reposts within short windows on June 2. These patterns, consistent with his second-term output, align with the leading 38.5% probability on 200+ while supporting the secondary clustering in the 160–199 range as traders price in sustained presidential posting frequency.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200+ 39%
180-199 18%
160-179 15%
140-159 13%
$31,490 Vol.
$31,490 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
6%
120-139
8%
140-159
13%
160-179
15%
180-199
18%
200+
39%
200+ 39%
180-199 18%
160-179 15%
140-159 13%
$31,490 Vol.
$31,490 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
6%
120-139
8%
140-159
13%
160-179
15%
180-199
18%
200+
39%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s established high-volume activity on Truth Social underpins the current trader consensus favoring 200+ posts for the June 2–9 window. Recent analyses show he averaged 19 posts per day through May 2026 and reached a record 861 posts that month alone, equating to roughly 27 daily. Early June has featured continued bursts, including dozens of posts and reposts within short windows on June 2. These patterns, consistent with his second-term output, align with the leading 38.5% probability on 200+ while supporting the secondary clustering in the 160–199 range as traders price in sustained presidential posting frequency.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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