Recent national polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with most surveys from late May and early June 2026 clustering between 36% and 40%. Trader consensus centers on the 38–39 range because individual polls continue to show modest variation around this level amid steady partisan divides. Persistent concerns over economic performance and the Middle East conflict have weighed on overall ratings without producing sharp week-to-week swings. Limited new data releases or major events in the final days before June 12 leave little room for dramatic separation, keeping probabilities tightly distributed across adjacent outcome bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated39.0–39.4 37%
38.5–38.9 32%
39.5–39.9 26%
40.0+ 22%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
<38.0
22%
38.0–38.4
22%
38.5–38.9
32%
39.0–39.4
37%
39.5–39.9
26%
40.0+
22%
39.0–39.4 37%
38.5–38.9 32%
39.5–39.9 26%
40.0+ 22%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
<38.0
$71 Vol.
22%
38.0–38.4
$50 Vol.
22%
38.5–38.9
$0 Vol.
32%
39.0–39.4
$0 Vol.
37%
39.5–39.9
$0 Vol.
26%
40.0+
$0 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with most surveys from late May and early June 2026 clustering between 36% and 40%. Trader consensus centers on the 38–39 range because individual polls continue to show modest variation around this level amid steady partisan divides. Persistent concerns over economic performance and the Middle East conflict have weighed on overall ratings without producing sharp week-to-week swings. Limited new data releases or major events in the final days before June 12 leave little room for dramatic separation, keeping probabilities tightly distributed across adjacent outcome bands.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Volume
$121End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with most surveys from late May and early June 2026 clustering between 36% and 40%. Trader consensus centers on the 38–39 range because individual polls continue to show modest variation around this level amid steady partisan divides. Persistent concerns over economic performance and the Middle East conflict have weighed on overall ratings without producing sharp week-to-week swings. Limited new data releases or major events in the final days before June 12 leave little room for dramatic separation, keeping probabilities tightly distributed across adjacent outcome bands.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 12, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$121End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with most surveys from late May and early June 2026 clustering between 36% and 40%. Trader consensus centers on the 38–39 range because individual polls continue to show modest variation around this level amid steady partisan divides. Persistent concerns over economic performance and the Middle East conflict have weighed on overall ratings without producing sharp week-to-week swings. Limited new data releases or major events in the final days before June 12 leave little room for dramatic separation, keeping probabilities tightly distributed across adjacent outcome bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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