Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul commands trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability to win the New York Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 23, driven by Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado's February 10 campaign suspension after securing minimal support and Hochul's resounding Democratic Party endorsement on February 6. With the April 6 filing deadline passed and no other candidates on the ballot per state records, she faces no opposition. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days. While probabilities exceed 90%, scenarios like a late-breaking scandal, health issue, or extraordinary write-in effort could theoretically shift outcomes, though structural barriers make this improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNew York Democratic Governor Primary Winner
New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner
$51,124 Vol.
$51,124 Vol.

Kathy Hochul
98%

Antonio Delgado
2%
$51,124 Vol.
$51,124 Vol.

Kathy Hochul
98%

Antonio Delgado
2%
If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 14, 2025, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul commands trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability to win the New York Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 23, driven by Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado's February 10 campaign suspension after securing minimal support and Hochul's resounding Democratic Party endorsement on February 6. With the April 6 filing deadline passed and no other candidates on the ballot per state records, she faces no opposition. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days. While probabilities exceed 90%, scenarios like a late-breaking scandal, health issue, or extraordinary write-in effort could theoretically shift outcomes, though structural barriers make this improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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