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icon for GA-01 Republican Primary Winner
Elections·House Primary

GA-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for GA-01 Republican Primary Winner
Elections·House Primary

GA-01 Republican Primary Winner

James Kingston 75.9%

Brian Montgomery 20.2%

Patrick Farrell 6.2%

Krista Penn 2.4%

Polymarket
NEW

James Kingston 75.9%

Brian Montgomery 20.2%

Patrick Farrell 6.2%

Krista Penn 2.4%

Polymarket
NEW

James Kingston

$3,995 Vol.

76%

Brian Montgomery

$276 Vol.

20%

Patrick Farrell

$253 Vol.

6%

Krista Penn

$369 Vol.

2%

Kandiss Taylor

$4,165 Vol.

2%

Eugene Yu

$377 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.James Kingston commands trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability in the GA-01 Republican primary due to his dominant fundraising—over $1.8 million raised, far outpacing rivals—and family legacy as son of former long-serving Rep. Jack Kingston, who held the coastal district for two decades. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Buddy Carter's U.S. Senate bid, has drawn a fragmented 14-candidate field, diluting opposition in the May 19 primary. Retired Lt. Col. Brian Montgomery trails at 16.5% on military credentials and Trump alignment, while Chatham commissioner Patrick Farrell holds 8.3% with local name recognition. Absent public polls, markets reflect skin-in-the-game bets on Kingston's resources amid early voting underway.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,434
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 2:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.James Kingston commands trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability in the GA-01 Republican primary due to his dominant fundraising—over $1.8 million raised, far outpacing rivals—and family legacy as son of former long-serving Rep. Jack Kingston, who held the coastal district for two decades. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Buddy Carter's U.S. Senate bid, has drawn a fragmented 14-candidate field, diluting opposition in the May 19 primary. Retired Lt. Col. Brian Montgomery trails at 16.5% on military credentials and Trump alignment, while Chatham commissioner Patrick Farrell holds 8.3% with local name recognition. Absent public polls, markets reflect skin-in-the-game bets on Kingston's resources amid early voting underway.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,434
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 2:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GA-01 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "James Kingston" at 76%, followed by "Brian Montgomery" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"GA-01 Republican Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "GA-01 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GA-01 Republican Primary Winner" is "James Kingston" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brian Montgomery" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GA-01 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.