Incumbent Governor Maura Healey's dominant position in recent University of New Hampshire polling from April 20—leading potential Republican challengers Mike Kennealy, Brian Shortsleeve, and Mike Minogue by 20+ points each—drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 95% to win Massachusetts' 2026 gubernatorial race. The deep-blue state's history of no Republican governor since 2014, Healey's strong approval ratings post her January re-election launch, and a fragmented GOP field recently narrowed at the state convention where Minogue secured endorsement reinforce this pricing. With Democratic primary likely uncontested ahead of September 1 primaries and the November 3 general election, odds would require a major scandal, Healey health issue, or national Republican wave to shift meaningfully.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMassachusetts Governor Election Winner
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
$23,744 Vol.
$23,744 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
95%
Republican
6%
$23,744 Vol.
$23,744 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$11,861 Vol.
95%
Republican
$11,883 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Governor Maura Healey's dominant position in recent University of New Hampshire polling from April 20—leading potential Republican challengers Mike Kennealy, Brian Shortsleeve, and Mike Minogue by 20+ points each—drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 95% to win Massachusetts' 2026 gubernatorial race. The deep-blue state's history of no Republican governor since 2014, Healey's strong approval ratings post her January re-election launch, and a fragmented GOP field recently narrowed at the state convention where Minogue secured endorsement reinforce this pricing. With Democratic primary likely uncontested ahead of September 1 primaries and the November 3 general election, odds would require a major scandal, Healey health issue, or national Republican wave to shift meaningfully.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$23,744End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Governor Maura Healey's dominant position in recent University of New Hampshire polling from April 20—leading potential Republican challengers Mike Kennealy, Brian Shortsleeve, and Mike Minogue by 20+ points each—drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 95% to win Massachusetts' 2026 gubernatorial race. The deep-blue state's history of no Republican governor since 2014, Healey's strong approval ratings post her January re-election launch, and a fragmented GOP field recently narrowed at the state convention where Minogue secured endorsement reinforce this pricing. With Democratic primary likely uncontested ahead of September 1 primaries and the November 3 general election, odds would require a major scandal, Healey health issue, or national Republican wave to shift meaningfully.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$23,744End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Governor Maura Healey's dominant position in recent University of New Hampshire polling from April 20—leading potential Republican challengers Mike Kennealy, Brian Shortsleeve, and Mike Minogue by 20+ points each—drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 95% to win Massachusetts' 2026 gubernatorial race. The deep-blue state's history of no Republican governor since 2014, Healey's strong approval ratings post her January re-election launch, and a fragmented GOP field recently narrowed at the state convention where Minogue secured endorsement reinforce this pricing. With Democratic primary likely uncontested ahead of September 1 primaries and the November 3 general election, odds would require a major scandal, Healey health issue, or national Republican wave to shift meaningfully.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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