Redistricting approved in May 2026 redrew Tennessee’s 9th district, splitting Memphis across multiple seats and shifting the core Democratic electorate, prompting longtime incumbent Steve Cohen to withdraw from the August 6 primary. This structural change elevated state Representative Justin Pearson as the clear frontrunner among Democratic primary voters, supported by stronger fundraising and name recognition from prior legislative visibility. DeVante Hill and other challengers, including London Lamar, trail with smaller organizations and limited polling traction. Trader consensus reflects these developments, pricing Cohen near zero while assigning Pearson the dominant share ahead of the primary.