Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office amid escalating US naval blockade and regional conflict with Israel, which has slashed oil exports and heightened economic collapse risks, as highlighted in his April 30 statement decrying attacks during negotiations that eroded trust in US diplomacy. Trader consensus prices a 30% implied probability for his exit by December 31, 2026—up from lower odds earlier—driven by mid-April reports of Pezeshkian's outburst over failed Pakistan talks, warning of salary payment crises, and ongoing clashes with IRGC leadership and hardline Majlis over war strategy and prior impeachment threats. No verified removal moves have materialized in the past 30 days, but stalled ceasefire talks and power struggles post-Supreme Leader Khamenei's March assassination sustain uncertainty ahead of potential fiscal deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMasoud Pezeshkian out by...?
Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?
$587,043 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
April 30
1%
June 30
14%
December 31
28%
$587,043 Vol.
April 30
$27,435 Vol.
1%
June 30
$139,431 Vol.
14%
December 31
$131,634 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office amid escalating US naval blockade and regional conflict with Israel, which has slashed oil exports and heightened economic collapse risks, as highlighted in his April 30 statement decrying attacks during negotiations that eroded trust in US diplomacy. Trader consensus prices a 30% implied probability for his exit by December 31, 2026—up from lower odds earlier—driven by mid-April reports of Pezeshkian's outburst over failed Pakistan talks, warning of salary payment crises, and ongoing clashes with IRGC leadership and hardline Majlis over war strategy and prior impeachment threats. No verified removal moves have materialized in the past 30 days, but stalled ceasefire talks and power struggles post-Supreme Leader Khamenei's March assassination sustain uncertainty ahead of potential fiscal deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
Volume
$587,043End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office amid escalating US naval blockade and regional conflict with Israel, which has slashed oil exports and heightened economic collapse risks, as highlighted in his April 30 statement decrying attacks during negotiations that eroded trust in US diplomacy. Trader consensus prices a 30% implied probability for his exit by December 31, 2026—up from lower odds earlier—driven by mid-April reports of Pezeshkian's outburst over failed Pakistan talks, warning of salary payment crises, and ongoing clashes with IRGC leadership and hardline Majlis over war strategy and prior impeachment threats. No verified removal moves have materialized in the past 30 days, but stalled ceasefire talks and power struggles post-Supreme Leader Khamenei's March assassination sustain uncertainty ahead of potential fiscal deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$587,043End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office amid escalating US naval blockade and regional conflict with Israel, which has slashed oil exports and heightened economic collapse risks, as highlighted in his April 30 statement decrying attacks during negotiations that eroded trust in US diplomacy. Trader consensus prices a 30% implied probability for his exit by December 31, 2026—up from lower odds earlier—driven by mid-April reports of Pezeshkian's outburst over failed Pakistan talks, warning of salary payment crises, and ongoing clashes with IRGC leadership and hardline Majlis over war strategy and prior impeachment threats. No verified removal moves have materialized in the past 30 days, but stalled ceasefire talks and power struggles post-Supreme Leader Khamenei's March assassination sustain uncertainty ahead of potential fiscal deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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