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Politics·Primaries

Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner

Dan Cox 57%

Ed Hale 31.1%

John Myrick 2.8%

Larry Hogan 2.3%

Polymarket

$544,191 Vol.

Dan Cox 57%

Ed Hale 31.1%

John Myrick 2.8%

Larry Hogan 2.3%

Polymarket

$544,191 Vol.

Dan Cox

$94,748 Vol.

57%

Ed Hale

$13,996 Vol.

31%

John Myrick

$3,860 Vol.

3%

Larry Hogan

$47,542 Vol.

2%

Steve Hershey

$345,409 Vol.

2%

Carl Brunner

$1,135 Vol.

1%

Kurt Wedekind

$1,193 Vol.

1%

Christopher Bouchat

$36,308 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Dan Cox at 58% implied probability to win the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary on June 23, driven by his name recognition as the 2022 nominee, strong appeal to the conservative base, and active campaigning highlighting Gov. Wes Moore's declining approval amid rising taxes and outmigration. Businessman Ed Hale trails at 31%, buoyed by self-funding and meetings with sheriffs on law enforcement issues, but faces skepticism over his August 2025 switch from Democrat, limiting broader GOP support. Former Gov. Larry Hogan's January announcement declining a comeback keeps him at 4%, opening the field to insurgents. An April 28 analysis underscored Cox as the "known quantity," with no recent polls emerging to challenge this positioning ahead of early voting on June 11.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$544,191
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Dan Cox at 58% implied probability to win the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary on June 23, driven by his name recognition as the 2022 nominee, strong appeal to the conservative base, and active campaigning highlighting Gov. Wes Moore's declining approval amid rising taxes and outmigration. Businessman Ed Hale trails at 31%, buoyed by self-funding and meetings with sheriffs on law enforcement issues, but faces skepticism over his August 2025 switch from Democrat, limiting broader GOP support. Former Gov. Larry Hogan's January announcement declining a comeback keeps him at 4%, opening the field to insurgents. An April 28 analysis underscored Cox as the "known quantity," with no recent polls emerging to challenge this positioning ahead of early voting on June 11.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$544,191
End Date
Jun 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dan Cox" at 57%, followed by "Ed Hale" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $544.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Dan Cox" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ed Hale" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.