Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Green Party councillor Liam Shrivastava at 59.5% implied probability to win the Lewisham mayoral election on May 7, reflecting a recent YouGov MRP poll projecting a Green victory in the accompanying council elections amid Labour's national polling slump and local discontent over housing and services. Labour cabinet member Amanda De Ryk trails at 40%, buoyed by incumbency advantages in the left-leaning borough but challenged by Shrivastava's focus on 1,000 new social rent homes and community-led development. Minor candidates like Liberal Democrat Josh Matthews and Conservative Sylbourne Sydial hold negligible odds. With voting one week away, turnout in this first-past-the-post race could tip the closely contested outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLiam Shrivastava 60%
Amanda De Ryk 40%
Jay Coward <1%
Kayode Damali <1%
$41,393 Vol.
$41,393 Vol.

Liam Shrivastava
60%

Amanda De Ryk
40%

Jay Coward
<1%

Kayode Damali
<1%

Josh Matthews
<1%

Roger Mighton
<1%

Peter Newman
<1%

Sylbourne Sydial
<1%
Liam Shrivastava 60%
Amanda De Ryk 40%
Jay Coward <1%
Kayode Damali <1%
$41,393 Vol.
$41,393 Vol.

Liam Shrivastava
60%

Amanda De Ryk
40%

Jay Coward
<1%

Kayode Damali
<1%

Josh Matthews
<1%

Roger Mighton
<1%

Peter Newman
<1%

Sylbourne Sydial
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Lewisham Council.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Lewisham Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Green Party councillor Liam Shrivastava at 59.5% implied probability to win the Lewisham mayoral election on May 7, reflecting a recent YouGov MRP poll projecting a Green victory in the accompanying council elections amid Labour's national polling slump and local discontent over housing and services. Labour cabinet member Amanda De Ryk trails at 40%, buoyed by incumbency advantages in the left-leaning borough but challenged by Shrivastava's focus on 1,000 new social rent homes and community-led development. Minor candidates like Liberal Democrat Josh Matthews and Conservative Sylbourne Sydial hold negligible odds. With voting one week away, turnout in this first-past-the-post race could tip the closely contested outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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