Trader consensus favors Green Party candidate Liam Shrivastava at 59.5% implied probability to win the Lewisham mayoral election on May 7, ahead of Labour's Amanda De Ryk at 40%, reflecting a sharp Green surge captured in YouGov's April 22 MRP poll projecting Greens as the largest party on Lewisham Council alongside Hackney, Lambeth, and Waltham Forest. This shift from De Ryk's earlier dominance stems from Labour's national local election struggles, with Ipsos polling highlighting the Green threat, amid voter concerns over housing where Shrivastava—a former Labour defector—criticizes developer deals and pledges affordable homes. The first-past-the-post race remains contested in this Labour stronghold, with council outcomes potentially swaying undecideds before polls close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLiam Shrivastava 60%
Amanda De Ryk 40%
Jay Coward <1%
Kayode Damali <1%
$41,393 Vol.
$41,393 Vol.

Liam Shrivastava
60%

Amanda De Ryk
40%

Jay Coward
<1%

Kayode Damali
<1%

Josh Matthews
<1%

Roger Mighton
<1%

Peter Newman
<1%

Sylbourne Sydial
<1%
Liam Shrivastava 60%
Amanda De Ryk 40%
Jay Coward <1%
Kayode Damali <1%
$41,393 Vol.
$41,393 Vol.

Liam Shrivastava
60%

Amanda De Ryk
40%

Jay Coward
<1%

Kayode Damali
<1%

Josh Matthews
<1%

Roger Mighton
<1%

Peter Newman
<1%

Sylbourne Sydial
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Lewisham Council.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Lewisham Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Green Party candidate Liam Shrivastava at 59.5% implied probability to win the Lewisham mayoral election on May 7, ahead of Labour's Amanda De Ryk at 40%, reflecting a sharp Green surge captured in YouGov's April 22 MRP poll projecting Greens as the largest party on Lewisham Council alongside Hackney, Lambeth, and Waltham Forest. This shift from De Ryk's earlier dominance stems from Labour's national local election struggles, with Ipsos polling highlighting the Green threat, amid voter concerns over housing where Shrivastava—a former Labour defector—criticizes developer deals and pledges affordable homes. The first-past-the-post race remains contested in this Labour stronghold, with council outcomes potentially swaying undecideds before polls close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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