Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 23% for 29°C, 21.5% for 28°C, and 19.5% for 30°C, mirroring divergent forecasts for Wuhan's May 10 high temperature at Tianhe International Airport. CustomWeather projects 29°C under afternoon clouds, while AccuWeather leans toward 32°C with sun through high clouds; this spread stems from disagreements on cloud timing and solar insolation amid southerly warm-air advection in the Yangtze River basin. Early May climatology averages 26-28°C highs, consistent with recent May 8 observations near 26°C, but boundary layer mixing and frontal influences add variability—watch CMA and ECMWF/GFS updates on May 9 for catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 10?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 10?
29°C 35%
28°C 32%
30°C 16%
27°C 9%
NEW
$14,252 Vol.
NEW
$14,252 Vol.
May 10, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
9%
28°C
32%
29°C
35%
30°C
16%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 35%
28°C 32%
30°C 16%
27°C 9%
NEW
$14,252 Vol.
NEW
$14,252 Vol.
May 10, 2026
23°C or below
$3,322 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,563 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,443 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,981 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,762 Vol.
9%
28°C
$605 Vol.
32%
29°C
$604 Vol.
35%
30°C
$454 Vol.
16%
31°C
$1,105 Vol.
2%
32°C
$228 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$195 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 23% for 29°C, 21.5% for 28°C, and 19.5% for 30°C, mirroring divergent forecasts for Wuhan's May 10 high temperature at Tianhe International Airport. CustomWeather projects 29°C under afternoon clouds, while AccuWeather leans toward 32°C with sun through high clouds; this spread stems from disagreements on cloud timing and solar insolation amid southerly warm-air advection in the Yangtze River basin. Early May climatology averages 26-28°C highs, consistent with recent May 8 observations near 26°C, but boundary layer mixing and frontal influences add variability—watch CMA and ECMWF/GFS updates on May 9 for catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$14,252End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 23% for 29°C, 21.5% for 28°C, and 19.5% for 30°C, mirroring divergent forecasts for Wuhan's May 10 high temperature at Tianhe International Airport. CustomWeather projects 29°C under afternoon clouds, while AccuWeather leans toward 32°C with sun through high clouds; this spread stems from disagreements on cloud timing and solar insolation amid southerly warm-air advection in the Yangtze River basin. Early May climatology averages 26-28°C highs, consistent with recent May 8 observations near 26°C, but boundary layer mixing and frontal influences add variability—watch CMA and ECMWF/GFS updates on May 9 for catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,252End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 23% for 29°C, 21.5% for 28°C, and 19.5% for 30°C, mirroring divergent forecasts for Wuhan's May 10 high temperature at Tianhe International Airport. CustomWeather projects 29°C under afternoon clouds, while AccuWeather leans toward 32°C with sun through high clouds; this spread stems from disagreements on cloud timing and solar insolation amid southerly warm-air advection in the Yangtze River basin. Early May climatology averages 26-28°C highs, consistent with recent May 8 observations near 26°C, but boundary layer mixing and frontal influences add variability—watch CMA and ECMWF/GFS updates on May 9 for catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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