Official observational data from Ben Gurion International Airport—the resolution source for Tel Aviv temperatures—recorded a peak of 27°C at 1520 local time under clear skies (CAVOK) and moderate westerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. Subsequent hourly METARs show cooling to 25–26°C amid strengthening sea breezes and the diurnal temperature decline toward sunset around 1920 local, aligning with Israel Meteorological Service forecasts of a 26°C high and May climatological norms of ~26°C daily maxima. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF confirm no risk of renewed heating. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon convective burst, though negligible per current atmospheric stability; final METARs finalize by midnight UTC.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 9?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 9?
27°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$73,350 Vol.
$73,350 Vol.
May 9, 2026
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$73,350 Vol.
$73,350 Vol.
May 9, 2026
27°C
$9,972 Vol.
100%
28°C
$8,990 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$8,732 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,730 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$4,077 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Ben Gurion International Airport—the resolution source for Tel Aviv temperatures—recorded a peak of 27°C at 1520 local time under clear skies (CAVOK) and moderate westerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. Subsequent hourly METARs show cooling to 25–26°C amid strengthening sea breezes and the diurnal temperature decline toward sunset around 1920 local, aligning with Israel Meteorological Service forecasts of a 26°C high and May climatological norms of ~26°C daily maxima. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF confirm no risk of renewed heating. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon convective burst, though negligible per current atmospheric stability; final METARs finalize by midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$73,350End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Ben Gurion International Airport—the resolution source for Tel Aviv temperatures—recorded a peak of 27°C at 1520 local time under clear skies (CAVOK) and moderate westerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. Subsequent hourly METARs show cooling to 25–26°C amid strengthening sea breezes and the diurnal temperature decline toward sunset around 1920 local, aligning with Israel Meteorological Service forecasts of a 26°C high and May climatological norms of ~26°C daily maxima. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF confirm no risk of renewed heating. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon convective burst, though negligible per current atmospheric stability; final METARs finalize by midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$73,350End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observational data from Ben Gurion International Airport—the resolution source for Tel Aviv temperatures—recorded a peak of 27°C at 1520 local time under clear skies (CAVOK) and moderate westerly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. Subsequent hourly METARs show cooling to 25–26°C amid strengthening sea breezes and the diurnal temperature decline toward sunset around 1920 local, aligning with Israel Meteorological Service forecasts of a 26°C high and May climatological norms of ~26°C daily maxima. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF confirm no risk of renewed heating. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon convective burst, though negligible per current atmospheric stability; final METARs finalize by midnight UTC.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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