Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 72-75°F for New York City's Central Park Observatory high on May 10, reflecting the National Weather Service's latest forecast of near 73°F under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and light southwest winds at 5-10 mph. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show convergence post a cool, overcast May 9 (highs ~60°F), with GFS ensembles slightly warmer (74-75°F potential via deeper boundary layer mixing) versus ECMWF's cooler bias from persistent low-level marine moisture. Differentiating factors include sea breeze onset timing—earlier incursion favors 72-73°F, delay boosts to 74-75°F—and urban heat island amplification. Watch NWS afternoon update for refined guidance amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on May 10?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 10?
72-73°F 34%
74-75°F 29%
70-71°F 18%
76-77°F 11.2%
NEW
$25,718 Vol.
NEW
$25,718 Vol.
May 10, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
34%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 34%
74-75°F 29%
70-71°F 18%
76-77°F 11.2%
NEW
$25,718 Vol.
NEW
$25,718 Vol.
May 10, 2026
63°F or below
$4,298 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$2,830 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$3,336 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$2,795 Vol.
7%
70-71°F
$4,057 Vol.
18%
72-73°F
$2,375 Vol.
34%
74-75°F
$1,514 Vol.
29%
76-77°F
$1,274 Vol.
11%
78-79°F
$1,415 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$792 Vol.
1%
82°F or higher
$1,163 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 72-75°F for New York City's Central Park Observatory high on May 10, reflecting the National Weather Service's latest forecast of near 73°F under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and light southwest winds at 5-10 mph. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show convergence post a cool, overcast May 9 (highs ~60°F), with GFS ensembles slightly warmer (74-75°F potential via deeper boundary layer mixing) versus ECMWF's cooler bias from persistent low-level marine moisture. Differentiating factors include sea breeze onset timing—earlier incursion favors 72-73°F, delay boosts to 74-75°F—and urban heat island amplification. Watch NWS afternoon update for refined guidance amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$25,718End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 72-75°F for New York City's Central Park Observatory high on May 10, reflecting the National Weather Service's latest forecast of near 73°F under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and light southwest winds at 5-10 mph. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show convergence post a cool, overcast May 9 (highs ~60°F), with GFS ensembles slightly warmer (74-75°F potential via deeper boundary layer mixing) versus ECMWF's cooler bias from persistent low-level marine moisture. Differentiating factors include sea breeze onset timing—earlier incursion favors 72-73°F, delay boosts to 74-75°F—and urban heat island amplification. Watch NWS afternoon update for refined guidance amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25,718End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 72-75°F for New York City's Central Park Observatory high on May 10, reflecting the National Weather Service's latest forecast of near 73°F under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and light southwest winds at 5-10 mph. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show convergence post a cool, overcast May 9 (highs ~60°F), with GFS ensembles slightly warmer (74-75°F potential via deeper boundary layer mixing) versus ECMWF's cooler bias from persistent low-level marine moisture. Differentiating factors include sea breeze onset timing—earlier incursion favors 72-73°F, delay boosts to 74-75°F—and urban heat island amplification. Watch NWS afternoon update for refined guidance amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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