National Weather Service heat advisory for June 11 signals a warm southerly flow and above-average temperatures across the New York metro area, driving market-implied odds toward the 92–95°F range. Official point forecasts and ensemble guidance show afternoon highs in the low to mid-90s under mostly sunny skies, with limited afternoon convection and modest urban heat island enhancement at Central Park. Historical June climatology places normal highs near 78°F, so current conditions reflect a notable positive anomaly, though model spread on cloud cover and sea-breeze timing keeps 90–91°F and 96–97°F bins in play. Traders are weighting the latest NWS updates and short-range model runs ahead of tomorrow’s maximum reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on June 11?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 11?
92-93°F 34%
94-95°F 21%
90-91°F 19%
96-97°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
87°F or below
4%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
34%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 34%
94-95°F 21%
90-91°F 19%
96-97°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
87°F or below
$195 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$122 Vol.
19%
92-93°F
$72 Vol.
34%
94-95°F
$5 Vol.
21%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
9%
98-99°F
$112 Vol.
4%
100-101°F
$5 Vol.
2%
102-103°F
$574 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$101 Vol.
1%
106°F or higher
$14 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service heat advisory for June 11 signals a warm southerly flow and above-average temperatures across the New York metro area, driving market-implied odds toward the 92–95°F range. Official point forecasts and ensemble guidance show afternoon highs in the low to mid-90s under mostly sunny skies, with limited afternoon convection and modest urban heat island enhancement at Central Park. Historical June climatology places normal highs near 78°F, so current conditions reflect a notable positive anomaly, though model spread on cloud cover and sea-breeze timing keeps 90–91°F and 96–97°F bins in play. Traders are weighting the latest NWS updates and short-range model runs ahead of tomorrow’s maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volume
$803End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service heat advisory for June 11 signals a warm southerly flow and above-average temperatures across the New York metro area, driving market-implied odds toward the 92–95°F range. Official point forecasts and ensemble guidance show afternoon highs in the low to mid-90s under mostly sunny skies, with limited afternoon convection and modest urban heat island enhancement at Central Park. Historical June climatology places normal highs near 78°F, so current conditions reflect a notable positive anomaly, though model spread on cloud cover and sea-breeze timing keeps 90–91°F and 96–97°F bins in play. Traders are weighting the latest NWS updates and short-range model runs ahead of tomorrow’s maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$803End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service heat advisory for June 11 signals a warm southerly flow and above-average temperatures across the New York metro area, driving market-implied odds toward the 92–95°F range. Official point forecasts and ensemble guidance show afternoon highs in the low to mid-90s under mostly sunny skies, with limited afternoon convection and modest urban heat island enhancement at Central Park. Historical June climatology places normal highs near 78°F, so current conditions reflect a notable positive anomaly, though model spread on cloud cover and sea-breeze timing keeps 90–91°F and 96–97°F bins in play. Traders are weighting the latest NWS updates and short-range model runs ahead of tomorrow’s maximum reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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