National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 90°F for Miami International Airport today under sunny skies and light south winds around 5-13 mph, driving trader consensus to 95% implied probability on 90-91°F as the market-implied outcome. Current observations show temperatures reaching the upper 80s by mid-afternoon, consistent with short-range model runs from NOAA's High-Resolution Rapid Refresh, which show minimal cloud interference and heat index values amplifying perceived warmth above climatological May norms of 86°F. High pressure aloft and warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures in the upper 70s°F bolster above-average heating potential. Realistic challenges include an unexpected sea breeze surge capping peaks at 88-89°F or isolated afternoon convection, though clear conditions favor the consensus; final resolution awaits official hourly data through sunset around 8 PM EDT.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on May 9?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 9?
90-91°F 97.4%
92-93°F 2.1%
94-95°F <1%
98°F or higher <1%
$64,128 Vol.
$64,128 Vol.
May 9, 2026
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
97%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 97.4%
92-93°F 2.1%
94-95°F <1%
98°F or higher <1%
$64,128 Vol.
$64,128 Vol.
May 9, 2026
86-87°F
$8,783 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$19,729 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$5,307 Vol.
97%
92-93°F
$5,899 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$4,774 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$4,572 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$2,771 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 90°F for Miami International Airport today under sunny skies and light south winds around 5-13 mph, driving trader consensus to 95% implied probability on 90-91°F as the market-implied outcome. Current observations show temperatures reaching the upper 80s by mid-afternoon, consistent with short-range model runs from NOAA's High-Resolution Rapid Refresh, which show minimal cloud interference and heat index values amplifying perceived warmth above climatological May norms of 86°F. High pressure aloft and warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures in the upper 70s°F bolster above-average heating potential. Realistic challenges include an unexpected sea breeze surge capping peaks at 88-89°F or isolated afternoon convection, though clear conditions favor the consensus; final resolution awaits official hourly data through sunset around 8 PM EDT.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$64,128End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 90°F for Miami International Airport today under sunny skies and light south winds around 5-13 mph, driving trader consensus to 95% implied probability on 90-91°F as the market-implied outcome. Current observations show temperatures reaching the upper 80s by mid-afternoon, consistent with short-range model runs from NOAA's High-Resolution Rapid Refresh, which show minimal cloud interference and heat index values amplifying perceived warmth above climatological May norms of 86°F. High pressure aloft and warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures in the upper 70s°F bolster above-average heating potential. Realistic challenges include an unexpected sea breeze surge capping peaks at 88-89°F or isolated afternoon convection, though clear conditions favor the consensus; final resolution awaits official hourly data through sunset around 8 PM EDT.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$64,128End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 90°F for Miami International Airport today under sunny skies and light south winds around 5-13 mph, driving trader consensus to 95% implied probability on 90-91°F as the market-implied outcome. Current observations show temperatures reaching the upper 80s by mid-afternoon, consistent with short-range model runs from NOAA's High-Resolution Rapid Refresh, which show minimal cloud interference and heat index values amplifying perceived warmth above climatological May norms of 86°F. High pressure aloft and warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures in the upper 70s°F bolster above-average heating potential. Realistic challenges include an unexpected sea breeze surge capping peaks at 88-89°F or isolated afternoon convection, though clear conditions favor the consensus; final resolution awaits official hourly data through sunset around 8 PM EDT.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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